Polymarket traders expect a 33% chance of an economic recession in the United States by the end of 2026.

Gate News reports that on March 19, Polymarket traders currently estimate a 33% chance of a recession in the United States by the end of 2026, down 11% from recent peak levels, reflecting a shift in market sentiment. This change indicates that traders' pessimism about the U.S. economic outlook in the coming years has eased.
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