"Feeling the market" tells you the direction, but "risk management" determines how long you can survive.

Many of my trades, in fact, come from intuition.

To be honest, I can't figure out complex candlestick structures, and I rarely truly rely on indicator systems.

Most of the time, I make judgments based on fundamentals:

Looking at industry news, changes in narratives, the overall market sentiment towards crypto, and the subtle shifts in liquidity and expectations behind it.

To put it more bluntly—I am "feeling" the market, not "calculating" the market.

I believe that many people are actually just like me.

Most of the time, we trade based on our own senses—

When we see the hype gathering, we want to jump in;

When we see panic starting, we want to bottom fish;

When we see people around us making money, we can't sit still.

But precisely because of this, I am increasingly convinced of one thing:

When you trade based on intuition, risk management is not optional, it is the only "seatbelt."

Market intuition can help you earn your first profit,

But only risk management can determine if you can survive the next cycle.

You can get the direction wrong, and you definitely will at some point,

But as long as your position and stop-loss are still there, you still have the right to make the next move.

But once risk management fails and emotions take over decisions,

It's often not just about losing one trade, but the beginning of a total "exit" from the market.

Intuition is a gift, but risk management is survival.
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