暗号クラッシュ：ビットコイン、イーサリアム、XRPなどが大暴落 ― 次はどうなる？

Source: CryptoTicker Original Title: Crypto Crash: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP & More Crash Hard – What’s Next? Original Link: https://cryptoticker.io/en/crypto-crash-bitcoin-ethereum-xrp-and-more-crash-hard-whats-next/ The entire risk market is in “risk off” mode.

Bitcoin is trading around $82,000–83,000, total crypto market cap has dropped sharply toward $2.8 trillion, and even major stock indices are rolling over.

On the heatmap of the top coins, almost every crypto is flashing red. Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, BNB, Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano and Hyperliquid are all down markedly over the past week, with only the stablecoins holding their peg.

This is not just “a Bitcoin dip” – it’s a broad deleveraging event where:

• Crypto market cap is breaking below a key support zone
• Bitcoin is testing a crucial support band around $80,000
• Major stock indices are under pressure, signalling global risk aversion

Crypto Total Market Cap: Support Break With Oversold Signals

On the total market cap chart, the market recently traded around $3.16T and is now sitting closer to $2.81T. That old $3.1–3.2T area acted as a horizontal support zone – and price clearly broke below it.

Key takeaways from the total market cap chart:

• Clean breakdown: The move below the support line confirms a loss of bullish momentum across the whole market, not just BTC.
• Momentum washed out: Technical indicators at the bottom are deep in the oversold region, signalling that the short-term move is already stretched.
• Liquidity exit: This kind of vertical drop usually means forced liquidations, de-risking from funds and leverage getting flushed out.

Translation: the trend is currently down, but the market is already moving into a zone where short-term bounces become more likely – even if the larger correction isn’t finished yet.

Macro Risk-Off Is Hitting Crypto

Major stock indices are also under pressure. While still relatively high compared to earlier in the year, they show:

• Failure to push to fresh highs
• A visible pullback from resistance, with red candles clustering
• A clear sign that traditional markets are also taking risk off the table

When stocks and crypto fall together, it usually means the driver is macro fear, not just crypto-specific news:

• Uncertainty around interest rates and inflation
• Job market data and growth concerns
• Geopolitical noise pushing investors into cash or safe havens

So this current crypto crash is macro-aligned: traders are pulling back from all risk assets, not just Bitcoin.

Bitcoin (BTC): Testing the $80K Lifeline

On the BTCUSD chart, price has broken down from the previous range and is trading around $82,000+.

You marked two major levels:

• $94,200 – prior range support/resistance, now a strong ceiling above
• $80,000 – a key horizontal support and psychological level

What the BTC chart is telling us:

• The drop from the mid-90Ks to the low-80Ks is sharp and impulsive, not a slow drift.
• Technical indicators are stuck in oversold territory, so the selling pressure has been extreme in a short period.
• As long as BTC stays above $80K, this can still be classified as a deep correction inside a larger bull cycle.

If $80K breaks with volume, the next downside zones to watch would be somewhere in the mid-70K or even 70K–75K region. For now, though, the market is clearly treating $80K as the last major line of defence.

Ethereum (ETH): High-Beta Bleed

ETH is trading around $2,695, with:

• 24h: roughly -10%
• 7d: around -15%

Ethereum is behaving like a high-beta clone of Bitcoin:

• When BTC falls 10–15%, ETH often falls slightly more in percentage terms.
• The leverage in ETH DeFi and perpetuals amplifies those moves.

As long as BTC is stuck below $94K and flirting with $80K, it’s hard for ETH to decouple. Expect ETH to remain weak but reactive: sharp intraday bounces are possible, but the dominant path is still dictated by Bitcoin.

XRP: Outperformer On The Way Down

XRP is trading around $1.91, with:

• 24h: about -9.5%
• 7d: around -16%

XRP’s move is slightly worse than BTC in percentage terms, but still within a normal altcoin reaction band:

• It tends to lag on the way up and catch up on the way down.
• The current drop shows that even large-cap alts with strong communities are not safe when BTC unwinds.

If BTC pierces $80K convincingly, XRP could easily retest lower psychological levels (e.g. the $1.50–$1.70 band), even if its long-term structure remains intact.

BNB: Still Relatively Resilient

BNB trades near $821, showing:

• 24h: about -9%
• 7d: around -10%

Compared to some other majors, BNB is holding up relatively well:

• The coin often shows lower volatility because a large share is held by long-term users and the exchange ecosystem.
• Still, the direction is clearly down – BNB is following the market, not fighting it.

If the crash deepens, BNB may continue to outperform in relative terms, but that still means red candles, just fewer and slightly smaller than high-beta alts.

Solana (SOL): Momentum Coin Losing Steam

SOL is trading around $126.64, with:

• 24h: roughly -11%
• 7d: about -10%

Solana has been one of the highest-beta layer-1s in this cycle, so it’s no surprise to see:

• Fast liquidations once sentiment flips
• Sharp intraday swings in both directions

The current crash is mainly macro + BTC-driven, not Solana-specific, but because SOL attracted a lot of speculative capital, it’s now seeing outsized selling.

If BTC holds $80K, SOL can bounce relatively aggressively. If not, a deeper retest of the $100 psychological zone would not be surprising.

Cardano (ADA): Deep Weekly Drawdown

ADA trades near $0.4076, with:

• 24h: around -12–13%
• 7d: roughly -21%

Cardano’s move shows significant altcoin capitulation:

• The weekly drawdown above 20% indicates widespread selling pressure.
• Long-term believers may see this as an accumulation zone, but from a pure trend perspective, ADA is decisively bearish in the short term.

As usual, ADA tends to move in slow, extended cycles. A recovery here will likely depend heavily on Bitcoin and macro sentiment, not just on Cardano news.

So… What’s Next For Crypto And Stocks?

Right now, the picture looks like this:

• BTC is testing a key support region around $80K.
• Total market cap has broken below a major support near $3.1T and is hovering around $2.8T.
• Major stock indices are also weakening, confirming that macro risk-off is in play.
• Most majors are down 10–20% over 7 days, with meme coins and high-beta alts hit hardest.

Possible scenarios:

Short-Term Relief Rally (If $80K Holds)

• Oversold technical indicators on BTC and total market cap support the idea of a bounce.
• BTC could reclaim parts of the drop and retest the $90K–94K zone.
• Alts like SOL, DOGE, ADA and other high-beta coins might see short, aggressive bounces.

Deeper Correction (If $80K Breaks)

• A decisive close below $80K could open the door to mid-70K or even 70K–75K.
• Altcoins could suffer another 10–20% drawdown, especially the speculative ones.
• Market cap might slide further below $2.8T, extending the correction phase.

Macro Drives The Narrative

• If major stock indices stabilise and macro data eases fears, risk assets could recover together.
• If macro worsens (recession fears, tighter policy, bad data), the risk-off environment may persist longer and cap any crypto bounce.
• For traders and investors, this is one of those phases where position sizing and risk management matter more than predictions. Crashes create opportunities, but only if you survive them with capital intact.