DBR1週間以内に1231万ドル相当のトークンをアンロック、新規プロジェクトが大口売却圧力の試練に直面

deBridge(DBR)is about to experience a significant token unlock. According to data from Web3 asset data platform RootData, DBR will unlock approximately 66.83 million tokens worth approximately $12.31 million at 00:00 Beijing time on January 15th. This unlock scale poses considerable potential selling pressure for a project ranked 553rd in market cap with a daily average trading volume of only around $6.9 million.

How Large is the Unlock Scale

Looking at the specific data of this unlock will be more intuitive:

Indicator Value
Tokens Unlocked Approximately 66.83 million
Unlock Value (at current price) Approximately $12.31 million
Current Circulating Supply Approximately 1.925 billion
Unlock as % of Circulating Supply Approximately 3.5%
24-hour Trading Volume Approximately $6.93 million

From this data, this unlock is approximately 3.5% of the circulating supply. While not astronomical, considering DBR’s daily average trading volume is less than $7 million, the $12.31 million in unlocked tokens represents approximately 1.7 times the daily average trading volume, making this scale noteworthy.

Market Environment and Risk Factors

Market test for new projects

DBR started trading on October 17, 2024, less than 3 months ago. From a price performance perspective, the project rose 6.75% over the past 7 days, but showed a 13.38% decline over 30 days, with relatively high volatility. Projects at this stage typically have relatively weak liquidity, making large unlocks susceptible to significant price impacts.

Recent market risks

It’s worth noting that deBridge has recently attracted attention for playing the role of a cross-chain bridge in the Flow network security incident. According to Flow’s technical report, approximately $3.9 million in illicit assets previously flowed out through cross-chain bridges including deBridge. While this is not deBridge’s responsibility, it may have some impact on market sentiment.

Possible Market Reactions

Short-term selling pressure risk

Large unlocks typically trigger several possible market reactions. One is direct selling pressure after unlocked tokens enter the market, especially for projects with relatively weak liquidity; another is market’s anticipatory reaction, as investors may begin reducing positions ahead of the unlock. Based on historical experience, the week before and after token unlocks is typically a sensitive period for price volatility.

Key observation points

  • The identity of unlock token recipients (team, investors, or others) will affect selling pressure expectations
  • Whether the market has already priced in this expectation ahead of the unlock
  • Whether post-unlock trading volume can absorb these tokens

Summary

DBR’s large-scale token unlock this time is a typical token economics event. For new projects, such unlocks often serve as “stress tests” for the market. The $12.31 million unlock scale is indeed substantial relative to the project’s liquidity, and short-term selling pressure is possible. However, the ultimate market performance will depend on where the unlocked tokens flow, market acceptance, and whether deBridge’s own fundamentals can support the price. Market performance over the following week is worth continued attention.

DBR2.54%
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