Well-known analyst Tom Lee recently shared his views on the 2026 market. He believes the broad rally at the beginning of the new year (stocks, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies all strengthening across the board) is a good signal, and healthy market breadth typically signals solid subsequent performance.
However, this year will be quite “dramatic” — first joy, then sorrow, then rebound. He admits that at some point mid-year, the market will make people feel like they’ve entered a bear market, and that sense of panic will feel very real. But here’s the key: this is not the end, but an opportunity. A strong rebound will follow, and the stock market will ultimately end the year with gains.
In terms of specific figures, he predicts the S&P 500 could reach 7700 by the end of 2026. However, before that, especially when the market “tests” the new Fed Chair, there could be a 15%-20% correction. The second half carries relatively higher risks, but these adjustments are essentially opportunities for positioning, not the end of the cycle. In other words, declines are entry signals.
First joy then sorrow then rebound? I know this script well, it plays out like this every year.
It's the same old talk about adjustment opportunities, basically just waiting to harvest the retail investors, right?
7700? That seems a bit conservative, honestly. We in the crypto space have already gotten used to much bigger numbers.
2026年市場はどのように展開されるのか？アナリストはS&P 500が7700ポイントに突き進むことを予測
【Block Rhythm】
Well-known analyst Tom Lee recently shared his views on the 2026 market. He believes the broad rally at the beginning of the new year (stocks, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies all strengthening across the board) is a good signal, and healthy market breadth typically signals solid subsequent performance.
However, this year will be quite “dramatic” — first joy, then sorrow, then rebound. He admits that at some point mid-year, the market will make people feel like they’ve entered a bear market, and that sense of panic will feel very real. But here’s the key: this is not the end, but an opportunity. A strong rebound will follow, and the stock market will ultimately end the year with gains.
In terms of specific figures, he predicts the S&P 500 could reach 7700 by the end of 2026. However, before that, especially when the market “tests” the new Fed Chair, there could be a 15%-20% correction. The second half carries relatively higher risks, but these adjustments are essentially opportunities for positioning, not the end of the cycle. In other words, declines are entry signals.