Recently, someone asked me again: should I do futures or hold spot this year?
To be honest, that question itself is already outdated.
What really creates the gap isn't the choice between futures and spot trading—it's whether you can trade the swings.
That old playbook—"hold spot and let time do the work"—doesn't work anymore. I've seen too many people hodl for two or three years, watching their accounts shrink from 1 million to 100k or 200k. What are they waiting for? A 10x to break even? Let's be real: that kind of opportunity basically doesn't exist for retail traders.
The market has changed.
Exchanges list hundreds of coins, but only one or two will 2-3x. Can you pinpoint them precisely? The odds are absurdly low. Whether you trade spot or futures, the market now is like a plate you have to exit once you've taken your portion—if you can consistently pocket 10-30% gains, honestly, that's already solid performance.
I have friends who stubbornly hodl, and their capital keeps evaporating. It's not that they don't work hard; it's that the market's rules have genuinely shifted. Crypto is starting to look more like traditional finance—volatility is shrinking, premiums are fading, and getting rich overnight by blind luck? Basically a pipe dream.
For retail to turn things around, there are two paths: either have enough capital to weather the risk, or catch sufficiently violent swings. But right now, the secondary market gives retail neither.
So stop fantasizing about a coin doing 10-50x for you.
After 2025, it's all about rhythm, swing trading, and repeated small wins. Those who consistently profit and last long have swapped the "bet big once" mindset for "get the small ones right every time." They rely on accumulation, not luck.
If you don't have a clear framework for this market yet, don't rush in. Once you've figured out your direction and method, then execution actually has real value.
Recently, someone asked me again: should I do futures or hold spot this year?
To be honest, that question itself is already outdated.
What really creates the gap isn't the choice between futures and spot trading—it's whether you can trade the swings.
That old playbook—"hold spot and let time do the work"—doesn't work anymore. I've seen too many people hodl for two or three years, watching their accounts shrink from 1 million to 100k or 200k. What are they waiting for? A 10x to break even? Let's be real: that kind of opportunity basically doesn't exist for retail traders.
The market has changed.
Exchanges list hundreds of coins, but only one or two will 2-3x. Can you pinpoint them precisely? The odds are absurdly low. Whether you trade spot or futures, the market now is like a plate you have to exit once you've taken your portion—if you can consistently pocket 10-30% gains, honestly, that's already solid performance.
I have friends who stubbornly hodl, and their capital keeps evaporating. It's not that they don't work hard; it's that the market's rules have genuinely shifted. Crypto is starting to look more like traditional finance—volatility is shrinking, premiums are fading, and getting rich overnight by blind luck? Basically a pipe dream.
For retail to turn things around, there are two paths: either have enough capital to weather the risk, or catch sufficiently violent swings. But right now, the secondary market gives retail neither.
So stop fantasizing about a coin doing 10-50x for you.
After 2025, it's all about rhythm, swing trading, and repeated small wins. Those who consistently profit and last long have swapped the "bet big once" mindset for "get the small ones right every time." They rely on accumulation, not luck.
If you don't have a clear framework for this market yet, don't rush in. Once you've figured out your direction and method, then execution actually has real value.