#BTC资金流动性 Market sentiment is hard to grasp. Should we wait and see or take action now?

The daily candlestick shows a large bullish candle, and the price is approaching the 30-day moving average, an important resistance level. My view is that the short-term rebound pattern is not yet complete—judging from the repeated bottoming around 85,000, it seems like energy is being accumulated. If $BTC can hold steady above the 89,000 mark, a surge upward is likely next week, targeting the 95,000 range. But at this stage, there's no need to rush into heavy positions; waiting for a breakout confirmation before adding long positions would be more prudent to avoid falling into false breakout traps.

From on-chain data, large holders are reducing their short positions (about 107 coins), indicating market sentiment is improving. I personally believe $BTC has completed a secondary bottoming process and expect a strong rebound next week, with targets around the $100,000 level. Short-term moderate positioning can be considered.

$ETH daily chart also closed bullish, reaching the 3000 round number. From a trend perspective, I lean towards a rebound, with initial targets set between 3250-3450. However, the key now is whether it can hold above 3000—only by maintaining this level can we confirm genuine strength. Aggressive traders might try adding light positions around 2950-2900, while more conservative traders should wait until $ETH successfully breaks above 3000 before entering.

Today, ETH has been fluctuating between 2960-3000. If it breaks below the 2970 support, be cautious of a retest down to 2935 or even 2900. Recently, Ethereum's correlation with Bitcoin has been quite evident, but its upward momentum seems somewhat lacking, possibly leading to sideways movement instead of a rally. The operational advice is not to be greedy—take profits when available.

I don’t expect significant volatility over the weekend. As long as key levels are not broken, consider low-positioning longs; if broken, cut losses promptly. The market is closed over the weekend, which is fine—especially around holidays, volatility can be limited. I remain cautiously optimistic in the short term, but considering liquidity and frequent market fluctuations, I will definitely not chase highs. Manage risks and take profits when the time is right.

$BTC $ETH