That Bitcoin four-year cycle fractal chart circulating wildly in the crypto community has almost become everyone's common language. Interpreting the chart, we are precisely at the explosion point of the fifth super cycle—mid-term resistance has been broken, and the short-term target given by technical analysis is $115,000 to $125,000. According to the most optimistic "moon case," it could even surge to $150,000 to $180,000. Looking at this beautiful trend line, voices in the community are growing louder, as if the code of wealth is written right on that chart.



But I made a choice that some friends might not understand: to systematically start converting part of my Bitcoin profits into stablecoins and allocate them into related ecosystems to earn stable returns.

Why? Because I’ve seen it too many times. Every recognized "parabolic start" has become a grave for some investors—they get blinded by FOMO, go all-in, and end up being ruthlessly shaken out during subsequent intense volatility. I believe in cycles, but I also believe in a simple principle: in the face of extreme fluctuations, protecting existing profits is far more practical than trying to precisely predict the top.

This isn’t about being bearish on the market; it’s a form of respect for the market. Cycle analysis provides a macro probability, but it’s based on the assumption that history will repeat itself strictly. The reality? The background of each cycle is changing—this time, with new participants like spot ETFs, the flow of institutional funds, and geopolitical uncertainties. No matter how exquisite the historical fractal, it cannot fully account for these new variables.

While everyone is calculating how much they can make, I’m thinking about what it feels like to sleep soundly in this highly volatile market. Using some of the realized gains to secure a certain, sustainable return may not sound as sexy, but it gives me what I need most when the next wave of turbulence hits—the clear-headedness and the chips to avoid being forced out.
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CommunitySlackervip
· 1h ago
Bro, I have to say, this move of yours is indeed a bit sober. --- Not following the trend to go all-in, this mindset is really rare. Most people are still bottom-fishing until they become numb. --- The stablecoin approach, to put it simply, is about surviving longer, so that next time there's a sharp drop, you won't be liquidated. --- The fractal chart looks beautiful, but history never repeats itself exactly. Once you understand this, you've won half the battle. --- Me too. I've experienced the first two cycles, and only after being shaken out did I understand what respect for volatility really means. --- So you're now neither fully in nor completely out, just waiting idly for the wind to come? That's some insight. --- Listening to 150,000 to 180,000 is just for reference. When it actually hits, the volatility will be even crazier, making problems more likely. --- Getting a good night's sleep in the crypto world is truly worth more than earning an extra 20%. --- The spot ETF has really changed the game; the previous pure technical analysis is a bit outdated now. --- It's all about perspective. As for me, I don't have such a strong mindset. I watch others reach the top while I stay calm and fish. --- That's why some survive three bull and bear cycles, while others get knocked out after just one.
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just_vibin_onchainvip
· 4h ago
To be honest, this guy is surprisingly clear-headed... Most of us are still dreaming about that line, while he's already started cashing out.
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BasementAlchemistvip
· 5h ago
That makes sense, but I still feel that the joy of gambling can't compare to the peace of mind from a good night's sleep... Anyway, I've lost and gained before.
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YieldHuntervip
· 5h ago
honestly the fractal porn is getting ridiculous at this point... everyone's suddenly a chart wizard until the rug pulls. sustainable yields > lunar fantasies, and if you look at the actual data on correlation coefficients during volatility spikes, degens holding through corrections get liquidated. risk-adjusted metrics don't lie
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GateUser-44a00d6cvip
· 5h ago
To be honest, no matter how beautiful the chart is, it can't save those who are trapped. You still have to stay alive to see the next cycle.
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LiquidatedDreamsvip
· 5h ago
Hmm... That makes sense, but I still believe in this wave. However, your approach is indeed solid.
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