Gold 2568-2569: Where is a good buying opportunity now that the price has already surpassed $4,000

Current Reality: Gold Continues to Surprise Investors Daily

As we approach the end of 2025, if you haven’t been following the gold market news, you might have missed what’s happening. Many who bought gold earlier are now smiling because gold prices have risen significantly from factual figures.

On October 20, 2025, gold prices reached an all-time high of $4,181 per ounce. This reality indicates that major changes are underway in the market.

Starting the year at around $3,000, it has grown by 66% in just seven months. This rapid increase differs from the past when it took fourteen months to move from $2,000 to $3,000. This tells us that buying pressure in the gold market is more intense than ever before.

In Thailand, 96.5% gold Baht continues to surge past 62,000 Baht, prompting many experts who had set lower targets to revise their forecasts.

Why Is Gold Price Rising Like This?

Many ask why gold is soaring so strongly. The answer lies in several driving factors of the market.

Trade wars and political uncertainty

The global trade situation is intensifying. The president recently announced a plan to impose a 100% import tax on China, expected to take effect from the beginning of November 2025.

As trade uncertainty increases, investors worldwide seek safe havens for their capital, and gold becomes the safest port for risky assets and services.

Central bank interest rate policies

The US Federal Reserve has begun to lower interest rates, reducing by 0.25% in September 2025, with further cuts expected in October and December.

Lower interest rates weaken the dollar, which benefits gold prices in foreign currencies, given the inverse relationship between gold prices and real interest rates.

Central banks’ gold accumulation

This is the most significant factor. Central banks worldwide, especially in Asia, Africa, and South America, have been purchasing over 1,000 tons of gold annually for three consecutive years (2022-2024) and continue in 2025.

The main reason is to diversify away from the US dollar. After the Russian central bank account blockade, countries realized that relying solely on the dollar is risky.

The current global gold reserves are approximately 36,699 tons, the highest in decades.

BRICS challenge to the dollar

Rumors suggest that BRICS countries are preparing a new digital currency backed by gold for interbank transactions. This is a direct challenge to the international dollar system.

Analysts’ Global Forecasts

Analysts from the global Renminbi bank have raised their gold price targets significantly due to the market’s strength exceeding expectations.

Goldman Sachs, one of the major names, targets $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026, up from their previous target of $4,300. Analyst Lina Thomas states that the demand from central banks and gold investment funds is driving this momentum.

UBS Group from Switzerland previously forecasted gold reaching $3,500 in December 2025, based on systematic central bank buying.

For Thailand, with a target of $4,900, the 96.5% gold Baht could reach 75,000-80,000 Baht by 2026. Despite some market corrections, the overall trend remains upward.

When Is the Best Time to Buy Gold? Three Strategies to Consider

With such a strong rally, many ask: When is the best time to buy gold in 2025-2026? If you want to buy but fear the price is too high right now, consider these strategies.

Method 1: Wait for a pullback

Since gold is in a strong uptrend but has risen rapidly, there’s a chance it will pause temporarily. During this pause, you can estimate support levels at around $3,859 (October opening point) or lower at $3,782. Setting a stop-loss below support, such as at $3,750, and aiming for a profit target of $4,084–$4,113 could be effective.

Method 2: Test new resistance levels

After breaking the psychologically significant $4,000 mark, gold may test that level again, providing a good entry opportunity.

Wait for the price to decline back to $3,980–$4,000 and see if that level can hold the selling pressure. If the price rebounds with high trading volume, it signals a buy opportunity. Place a stop-loss at $3,950 and set a profit target above $4,100.

Method 3: Use Fibonacci retracement tools

When the price moves up from a low of around $3,500 to a high of $4,059, draw Fibonacci lines to identify potential retracement levels.

Levels at 38.2% and 61.8% are popular exit points for traders and also good entry zones. If the price touches these levels and shows reversal signals, you can consider adding to your position.

Potential Risks That Could Reverse Gold’s Uptrend

Although the outlook for gold appears bullish, it’s not risk-free. Certain factors could reverse the trend.

If the US and China successfully negotiate trade agreements and positive news emerges, gold prices could fall sharply as trade uncertainties diminish.

Additionally, if the RSI indicates an overbought market (Overbought), a correction or profit-taking may occur, especially after eight consecutive weeks of gains.

A strengthening dollar or if the Fed delays rate cuts due to persistent inflation could also pressure gold prices, as higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold.

Technical Signals: Clues from the Charts

Looking at the daily XAUUSD chart, several signals can be interpreted.

Intense and rapid upward movements suggest strong buying momentum. For example, a recent surge of $250 per ounce in just a few days indicates excessive buying power.

The RSI is in overbought territory, warning of a possible short-term correction. However, if RSI remains high, the bullish trend is still strong.

According to technical analysis theory, markets go through three phases: (Accumulation), (Public Participation), and (Distribution). Currently, gold appears to be in the Public Participation phase, where it is beginning to attract broader interest, with room for further growth.

Risk Management Strategies: Often Overlooked

If you decide to buy gold in the current market, risk management is essential.

Always set a stop-loss to prevent unnecessary losses. Typically, this is placed below clear support levels.

Set reasonable profit targets. Many recent traders neglect to take profits, resulting in losses. The risk-reward ratio (Risk-Reward Ratio) should be at least 1:2.

Long-term investing may be preferable to short-term trading because the gold trend in 2025-2026 looks strong. Holding for a longer period could yield better returns.

Final Note: Gold Can Continue Upward, But Be Cautious

Gold in 2025-2026 is expected to maintain its upward momentum. Leading financial institutions forecast prices reaching $4,900 per ounce, and in Thailand, Baht gold could surpass 75,000–80,000 Baht.

Regarding the question “When is the best time to buy gold in 2025?” there’s no definitive answer. It depends on your preparation and market signals. Waiting for a correction and confirming with technical signals might be a better approach.

Ultimately, the factors driving gold prices are short-term and long-term. The market still has significant intelligence, but remember that gold is volatile. Proper planning and careful market analysis will help you seize opportunities with minimal risk!