#比特币价格波动 Seeing Pompliano's analysis, I have some thoughts I want to share with everyone.

The probability of Bitcoin dropping significantly in Q1 next year is indeed low. There's a logical point worth noting here: volatility has been greatly compressed. Simply put, the price isn't as crazy as before, which actually reduces the chance of a sharp decline. He's right—if volatility drops so low and we still see a 70-80% drop, that would be truly abnormal.

This is actually a good signal for us "HODLers." What does a relatively stable market mean? It means that the interaction window for new projects is more predictable, and you don't have to constantly be on edge fearing a sudden crash. Also, don't be fooled by the short-term inability to reach $250,000—facts show a 100% increase over two years and a 300% increase over three years. The logic of long-term compound growth hasn't changed.

My suggestion is to plan a more stable airdrop interaction rhythm moving forward. Don't chase after quick gains or panic sell; instead, focus on discovering new projects and completing basic interactions. In a low-volatility market environment, it’s actually easier to seize opportunities for maximum interaction at minimal cost. Keep steadily doing your homework, and diligently check in on projects on the airdrop map—such a pace is more reliable.