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The following content reflects personal opinions only and should not be considered any investment advice.
BTC Market Analysis 2026.04.06
Assuming 76,000 as the end point of the rebound starting from 60k, then 76,000-65,000 is the first wave of decline. The movement from 65,000 to now is a rebound against the 76,000-65,000 decline. Currently, this rebound has met basic requirements, and after it ends, BTC will continue to decline. This is the scenario illustrated by the blue route and is also the route I believe has a higher probability.
Yesterday, a friend mentioned that since BTC has not fallen below 65,000 after 4.2, an even higher high above 76,000 cannot be ruled out. Strictly speaking, this cannot be completely excluded at the moment, and this is the main difference between the red and blue paths. However, their common point is that the subsequent trend will be the same. Smart traders will look for the commonalities between the red and blue scenarios to plan their trades.