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Bitcoin consolidates after breaking through $76k, and here’s what I’ve noticed. RSI still indicates overbought conditions, so a pullback to $72k seems logical. The current price is around $73.1k, and it looks like a support level is forming in the $72-74k range. If it bounces from here, the chances of moving higher $80k are quite real.
Futures are interesting: open interest for BTC has increased by 2% to a three-week high of 685.2k contracts. This, along with positive volume delta, indicates bullish long positions. Ether also shows a similar bullish signal. But options traders are more cautious — puts on Bitcoin are trading at a premium, which suggests fear of a drop.
Altcoins, on the other hand, have suffered more. Meme coins led the decline — TRUMP lost 6% in a day, PEPE pulled back after Monday. The CoinDesk meme coin index was the worst performer of the day, while the broader CD80 rose by 1.35%. Interestingly, the altcoin season indicator remains at 49 out of 100 — the highest of the year, but risk appetite has clearly cooled. ETH lost 0.5%, SOL dropped 0.12%, SUI down 0.20%.
Realized losses for BTC have fallen to $76k per day — well below the peak of $2 billion, indicating no panic selling. The profit-to-loss ratio has increased to 1.4, so those in profit dominated trading. It looks like consolidation before the next move, not the start of a bear market. I’ll be watching the $72k level.