GeniusTraderBrotherJie

7.17 Friday midday market analysis
BTC broke below the key short-term support zone of $64,500 mentioned yesterday, and the daily close price is below $64,000—short positions should continue to be held;
The first target below is around $62,724. This area is an important 4-hour dynamic support level. If it is successfully pierced through, it is favorable for the shorts to continue holding; otherwise, partial closing is required to reduce risk;
The second target below is around $61,700. This area is the core structure-confirmation zone for this short setup. Once this level is pierced through with

7.16 Thursday Midday Market Analysis
The CPI pulled up the day before yesterday, and last night the PPI data continued with a bit more momentum. Big BTC surged above 65,500, but that’s about it—after gaining fewer than 1,000 points it started to fall back, and now it’s retracing to around 64,400. After ETH pushed above 1,940, it also couldn’t hold, and has dropped back to around 1,910. This rebound is clearly lackluster: bullish momentum is fading, and the news backdrop is not optimistic either.
ETFs have continued to see net outflows. In June alone, total outflows have reached $4.5 billion, t

7.15 midday market analysis
BTC in the morning closed with a strong bullish candle, and the daily chart ended a three-day streak of consecutive declines
Last night, driven by the CPI data, BTC’s long wick lifted it instantly, jumping by 2,500 points. As of the U.S. stock market close this morning, all three major indices closed up
In the past 24H, the entire network saw 69,901 traders liquidated, totaling $353 million: long positions $67 million, short positions $286 million. The main liquidations were concentrated in short positions with high leverage
From the liquidation map, the areas with

July 13 (Monday) midday market analysis.
In the early session, BTC suddenly triggered a liquidity hunt; after the spike to 64,425 was rejected, it started to pull back. Because ETH/BTC is strengthening, BTC’s spike is amplified by ETH. This signal is the same BTC upside spike mentioned last week on the 4-hour chart, which formed a long upper wick—i.e., a good opportunity to add to short positions. BTC on the 4-hour timeframe has already broken below the key short-term level in the 63,700 area. The important support below is around 61,500—watch the strength of that support.
Note: This week

7.10 Friday midday market outlook analysis
Last night, the overall market remained in a range-bound, oscillating trend. On the daily chart level, there hasn’t been much change for now, and price is still trading within the range.
In terms of funds, although yesterday crypto ETFs saw approximately a $130 million net outflow, which affected market sentiment in the short term, if you look over a longer time frame, the past five trading days still accumulated to a net inflow of $460 million. This suggests institutional capital has not exited the market; instead, it continues to position on dips, t

**Thursday Midday Market Analysis, July 7**
**Fed's "Jawboning on Rate Hikes" Frightens Market! BTC, ETH Bounce Then Short**
The Fed minutes stated that although there was no rate hike this time, "most" officials believe rate hikes will be necessary if inflation does not come down! This is not "bad news priced in" — it is a warning of more bad news! U.S. stocks have already fallen first on this. Why should BTC and ETH rise alone?
**Technical Analysis: Bounce on Low Volume, Weak, a Pump-and-Dump**
BTC bounced weakly to 62,000 on the 4-hour chart with shrinking volume. The 63,000-63,500 area abo

7.8 Wednesday Midday Market Analysis
The U.S. military is taking military action against Iran, but U.S. officials also say they are "still seriously negotiating with Iran to reach a final agreement." Fighting and negotiating at the same time. This situation is common in the market. Typically, the chart shows such movement: price first rises quickly, then falls rapidly.
There are three important time points in the next seven days that need close attention:
July 7: U.S. sanctions against Iran take effect, related oil permits are revoked, and the U.S. military has also taken action. Oil pri

7.7 Tuesday Noon Market Analysis
The leading global index, South Korea's KOSPI, has circuit-breakered again. SK Hynix and Samsung are about to drag the Nasdaq down with them.
Let's first discuss the current status of the Nasdaq and the KOSPI.
1. The KOSPI has finally dropped -6%, dragged down by chip manufacturers. The profit growth driven by AI can no longer continue. High market expectations combined with high profit demands directly amplify investors' concerns. AI computing, storage, and other Korean tech stocks started circuit-breaking and plunging today. Samsung fell -8% today, and

7.6 Monday Midday Market Analysis
Review: After Bitcoin's correction last week found a bottom, the bulls rallied all the way. This morning, it surged to 63990, a new stage high, then stalled slightly; Ethereum strengthened synchronously, peaking at 1807. The chart is similar to Bitcoin's. On small timeframes, the short-term structure remains bullish. However, after two attempts to break into the 1800 area in the short term, both stopped under pressure. The short-term bullish momentum is limited, and conditions for a reversal are not yet in place.
1850 is the key strong resistance. Before it ca