"Market intuition" tells you the direction, but "risk control" determines how long you can survive.

A lot of my trades actually come from intuition.

To be honest, I don't really understand complex candlestick patterns, nor do I often rely on indicator systems.

Most of the time, I make judgments based on fundamentals:

Looking at industry news, shifts in narratives, the overall market sentiment toward crypto, and the subtle shifts in underlying liquidity and expectations.

To put it more bluntly—I’m “feeling” the market, not “calculating” it.

I believe many people are actually just like me.

Most of the time, we trade based on our own senses—

When we see hype building up, we want to jump in;
When we see emotions turning to panic, we want to buy the dip;
When we see people around us making money, we can’t sit still.

But it’s precisely because of this that I’m more and more convinced of one thing:

If you’re trading based on intuition, risk control is not optional—it’s the only “seatbelt” you have.

Market intuition can get you your first profit,

But only risk control can determine whether you make it through the next cycle.

You can get the direction wrong—and you definitely will at some point—

But as long as you have your position sizing and stop-losses in place, you’ll still have another chance to make a move.

But once risk control fails and emotions take over your decisions,

It’s usually not just about losing a single trade—it’s the beginning of an exit from the market.

Intuition is a gift, but risk control is survival.
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