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A series of employment data will be released in the US tonight, and the probability of a rate cut has reached as high as 94%.

12 月 4 日,根据日程,今晚 20:30 美国 11 月挑战者企业裁员人数将公布;21:30,美国至 11 月 29 日当周初请失业金人数公布,预期值为 22 万人。此外,23 时还将公布美国 11 月全球供应链压力指数和美国 9 月工厂订单月率。尽管今晚就业数据相对重要,但市场目前已高度押注美联储 12 月降息 25 基点。截止发稿,Polymarket 上这一事件概率已高达 94%。

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