#数字货币市场洞察 $FIL This round of shakeout may be the final test before a major surge

The recent eerie calm in the market reminded me of something quite interesting.

A friend who’s been trading $FIL for over half a year had a breakdown in our group chat a few days ago: the sideways movement completely shattered his mentality, and he was ready to cut his losses and exit. He threw out a question—Is this really the last shakeout for FIL? Will there be any more opportunities ahead?

I didn’t rush to a conclusion, but instead pulled up a set of data I’ve studied for a long time: the timeline of the Fed’s balance sheet expansion cycles and the altcoin market booms over the past decade. The overlap between the two curves is astonishingly high.

He stared at the chart for a while, then suddenly said, “So the market isn’t killing people, it’s filtering people.”

That’s pretty accurate. If you look back, you’ll notice—

During the years of Fed tightening, the altcoin market was like it had all its blood drained. No matter how strong a project was, nothing could move the price, and capital simply wouldn’t enter.

But once expansion begins? It’s not just a simple rally, but collective ignition, chain reactions, and a flood of capital.

So where are we now?
The tightening cycle is nearing its end, and the expansion window will most likely open around next February.

What does this mean? In one sentence: before expansion, it’s filtering people; after expansion, it’s filtering money.

$FIL This current trend may look like merciless torment, but in reality it’s more like that suffocating tension before a storm hits. You think it’s the end, but it’s very likely just the prep for a rapid takeoff.

To be honest, I’ve seen too many coins over the years:
Those who can’t survive the final shakeout will always be spectators.
Only those who tough it out to the center of the storm truly experience the explosive speed of altcoin season.

This time, the market feels like that long-lost rhythm is coming back. When exactly will ignition happen? It’s hard to pinpoint at this stage. But the macro signals are already clear enough—the liquidity inflection point is on the way, and the rest is just a matter of time.

The hardest part of the filtering stage isn’t technical—it’s psychological. If you can withstand it, your story might be very different.