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The BTC cost basis shift may define the next phase again
Bitcoin’s rebound toward $92,500 compressed STH unrealized losses to -12% from -28%, a sign that forced selling is easing and emotional exhaustion is setting in. The STH realized rice at $81,000 remains the psychological fulcrum, as each reclaim historically marks the transition from capitulation into stability.
New money and investors entering within days to weeks hover near breakeven, reinforcing this stabilizing structure. If BTC continued to improve STH profitability while holding above this $81,000 foundation, the late-year correction could already be nearing completion, setting the stage for the next expansion phase.$BTC