2025-12-19 22:21:25

The recent actions of the Bank of Japan have attracted a lot of attention. For the first time in 11 months, interest rates have been raised, directly increasing to 0.75%, reaching a 30-year high. What does this signal mean? Simply put, the world's last large-scale liquidity printing machine is starting to brake, and the era of cheap funds is about to come to an end.

There is an interesting pattern in history—whenever the Bank of Japan begins an interest rate hike cycle, Bitcoin often experiences a deep correction of over 20%. This is not a coincidence but an inevitable response to global liquidity tightening. So, this time? Can the market avoid this calamity, or will it replay the same retracement drama?

Honestly, storms will always come. But projects and communities that truly survive are never built solely on cheap money. In the context of liquidity tightening, genuine consensus and strong ecological support are the real hard assets that can withstand tests.

The market is never gentle, but there are always opportunities for those who are prepared. The premise is to survive first, then think about getting rich quickly.

BTC-0.17%

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OptionWhisperer

· 17h ago

The Bank of Japan has started tightening again. The historical pattern is clear, and a 20% drop in Bitcoin still requires psychological preparation. The era of cheap money is really coming to an end. Projects that rely on air and liquidity need to wake up. Survive first, then get rich quickly—it's well said, but in reality, there are still too many greedy people. Often, only blood lessons can teach them. The phrase "true consensus and ecosystem are hard assets" is very clear, but unfortunately, most people can't see it. History will repeat itself, but this time the pattern might be different. Let's see which projects can truly stand the test. The market's selection mechanism is so cruel; bubbles without cheap liquidity support will burst when they must. The move by the Bank of Japan has shifted the global financial landscape again. It feels like this year's market will be very interesting.

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GasOptimizer

· 17h ago

The Bank of Japan has really started to get serious. The era of cheap prices is truly coming to an end. It's time to wake up. Another 20% dump? History loves to repeat itself. I'm just waiting to see who can survive until the end. Instead of waiting for sudden wealth, it's better to focus on surviving first. That's the real logic of making money. When liquidity tightens, those air projects immediately reveal their true nature. I don't want anything without an ecosystem, no matter how cheap it is. By the way, can we really avoid this wave? I don't think so. Be prepared to cut your losses. When the central bank hits the brakes, retail investors are the first to suffer losses. That's the reality. Projects with consensus will survive; those without consensus will die sooner or later. This wave allows us to see the quality of projects clearly.

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DaoResearcher

· 17h ago

According to the liquidity model in section 3.1 of the white paper, the on-chain performance data during the Bank of Japan's current interest rate hike cycle is worth in-depth analysis. Historical backtesting shows that BTC's volatility during liquidity contraction periods indeed follows a two-phase decay pattern, but the probability of this assumption holding true—based on governance proposal voting data—may be questionable. What truly deserves attention are projects without genuine token economics backing; this cycle will be the true test.

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RugpullAlertOfficer

· 17h ago

Is Japan starting to raise interest rates again? I told you, the era of cheap money is really coming to an end, and this wave of retail investors might get hurt quite badly. Historical patterns are clear: Bitcoin always drops at least 20% each time. This time probably won't be an exception, so it all depends on who can hold out until the end. Well said, truly solid projects must withstand storms; projects built on money printing will eventually cool off. Right now, those with genuine consensus will last longer. The last train of the era of cheap funds—just hearing that, you should be mentally prepared. The market is about to harvest a wave of unfaithful people. Liquidity tightening is the real test for projects; without ecological support, they can turn to nothing in minutes. Let's just focus on surviving first. The dream of getting rich quickly must be built on the foundation of staying alive, or else everything is pointless.

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PumpingCroissant

· 17h ago

The Bank of Japan hits the brakes, cheap money is about to disappear, and this time we'll have to cut the leeks again. Same old story, I just want to know how many points this time will drop. Anyway, I'm already ready to buy the dip. Really? Is the historical pattern so accurate? Then I guess I should hide. Relying on the ecosystem to stay alive? That's funny. Most projects don't have an ecosystem at all, just meme machines. Live first, then get rich overnight. Sounds empty. I have no money anymore, what else is there to think about? Will Satoshi come out again to take over during this round of adjustment? Just joking, haha. The era of cheap funds is over. Those who can't play anymore will have to step out.

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DataChief

· 18h ago

A 30-year high, it's really coming. The days of cheap prices are indeed coming to an end. Well said, only projects that can survive this wave are truly valuable. Historical patterns are clear; a 20% correction is nothing, the key is whether the ecosystem is strong enough. First, survive; the dream of getting rich quickly can wait until liquidity returns. Japan's move feels like the whole world will follow the rhythm.

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