The probability of the stock market rising in the last two weeks exceeds 75%—this data is right in front of us. Will the crypto circle follow suit?

It's hard to say it won't. The logic of the market at the end of this year is actually quite clear: global funds are switching back and forth between stocks and crypto assets. Once the US stock market enters the sprint phase, risk appetite will rise accordingly. By then, leading coins like BTC and ETH are likely to become the next destination for hot money.

Institutional big players have long been watching this scene. They flexibly allocate positions across different markets, pouring into whichever is hot. Once the stock market confirms a breakout upward, some funds will definitely splash into the crypto space, boosting the overall market temperature.

But retail investors need to think carefully about how to play:

**First, don’t dream of getting rich overnight.** All-in and contract trading are basically gambling on luck. Those who can survive until the end of the year are the ones holding spot assets. No matter how tempting, don’t get carried away.

**Second, staggered entry is the safest.** If you’re bullish on a certain coin, buy in several times, setting stop-loss levels each time. This will keep your mindset much calmer. Going all in at once leaves you without ammunition later.

**Third, mindset is more valuable than technical analysis.** When the market moves, don’t get shaken out by small fluctuations, and don’t get overly excited by a short-term rise. As the market size grows, so does the noise. Staying disciplined is key.

BTC and ETH are market barometers; their performance can reveal a lot. To seize the opportunities at the end of the year, keep a close eye on their rhythm. But ultimately, rationality always comes first—no greed, no fear, steady positioning—only then can you truly have a good year.