#BTC资金流动性 What exactly is the Fed's RMP (Reserve Management Purchase)? Industry veteran Arthur Hayes recently offered an opinion: it is essentially a variant of a new round of QE.



What does this mean? It means market liquidity will expand outward again, and the pressure of fiat currency devaluation will also increase. In this context, assets like $BTC will clearly benefit.

Hayes's prediction is as follows: Bitcoin may fluctuate between $80,000 and $100,000 in the near term; but once the entire market understands the logic of "RMP=QE," the situation will change. He expects Bitcoin to potentially return to $124,000, or even quickly test the $200,000 level.

In terms of timing, a wave of relatively concentrated market sentiment highs may occur around March next year. Although there will definitely be adjustments afterward, the bottom support is unlikely to fall below $124,000.

The core logic of this inference is: loose policy → ample liquidity → safe-haven assets become popular. Whether this script will play out depends on actual policy implementation and market reactions.
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EntryPositionAnalystvip
· 6h ago
Uh, Hayes's way of saying it sounds pretty nice, but is RMP really equal to QE? Feels like we're just betting on policies. --- $200k? Don't get your hopes up. Right now, we're in the accumulation phase. How many more institutions will pour money in later? --- I believe in liquidity expansion, but being optimistic about 124k as the bottom support is a bit much... --- I just want to know if there will be another wave of sharp declines before March to wipe out retail investors. I've been through too many times, haha. --- QE variants are nothing new; the key is how the Federal Reserve actually acts. Saying one thing and doing another is too common. --- I'm okay with repeatedly testing the 80k to 100k range, but the later predictions feel like just drawing pie in the sky based on dates. --- There's no problem with easing policies, but ultimately it depends on which way the global economy leans. Don't be too confident. --- Is Hayes always this optimistic? Has he considered the possible emergence of black swan events in the middle? --- Bottom support at 124k? I'll still choose to wait and see. Maybe there's a better entry point below.
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ResearchChadButBrokevip
· 6h ago
Hayes' explanation sounds like another reason to cut the leeks, but the figure of $200k really can make people excited to the point of insomnia. Next March? I bet five bucks that there will be new reasons to push the schedule by then. RMP=QE is a far-fetched logic, but anyway, if it drops, it's said to be healthy adjustment; if it rises, it's because I already mentioned it. Instead of waiting for Hayes's prediction, better ask yourself how many bullets are left in your account.
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TradingNightmarevip
· 6h ago
Hayes is back to storytelling again. I'm tired of the RMP=QE explanation; the key still depends on the Federal Reserve's actual actions. Wait, $200k? Dream on. Let's first stabilize at $80k. I just want to know who is actually buying near $100k. This logical chain is too long; if any link breaks, we have to recalculate. But liquidity is indeed worth paying attention to. Hayes is just good at making big promises. Next March, right? Let's remember that, anyway, we're going to be trapped again. It's the same story of safe-haven assets. Why not say stocks are also safe-haven? Double standards. Dumping might happen faster than rebound, everyone. Don't just listen to the good news.
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AirdropHunterXMvip
· 6h ago
Another Hayes prediction of ambition. This guy always manages to come up with all kinds of ways to hype QE.
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LootboxPhobiavip
· 7h ago
Another variant of QE, I'm really tired of hearing it I believe Hayes' argument only halfway. While liquidity expansion is indeed good for BTC, can $200K really be reached? Let's wait for the big show in March. For now, it's just a repeated bottoming process.
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MemeEchoervip
· 7h ago
It's just the RMP=QE thing again; just listen and don't take Hayes's words as gospel.
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