A while ago, I met up with an old friend. He casually opened his account to show me—over three years, starting from 100,000 yuan, it grew to 20 million. Honestly, my first reaction wasn't pure envy, but more of a speechless feeling: back when we studied candlestick charts together, this guy didn't even understand moving average systems, and now he's become a figure many people secretly learn from.

Later, I thought about it calmly. The fact that he can earn this amount isn't due to some mysterious indicator or insider information; it's just a set of methods that look "incredibly simple" but few people can stick with.

I've been messing around in this field for nearly ten years. What I hate most is hearing people say, "You have to rely on quant scripts to make big money" or "No insider info, you're doomed." Last year, a trader came to me and said he spent 80,000 yuan to buy a certain "intelligent trading system," but within two weeks, he lost his principal. To be honest, the simplest strategies are often the most risk-resistant. Most people lose money not because of IQ issues, but because they run away before the logic actually plays out.

**How to interpret market rhythm? First, figure out if it's a "real dip" or a "fake dip."**

Many people stare at the market all day until their eyes are sore, but they just can't pinpoint the right moment. Think about it from another angle—markets are like music with a beat—at first glance, it looks chaotic, but the underlying rhythm is actually relatively fixed. The problem is, you need to catch that beat accurately, not just follow others' movements blindly.

I've paid quite a few tuition fees for two common pitfalls:

One is "sharp rise followed by a slow decline." The price suddenly surges, then begins to fluctuate downward in a zigzag pattern. Many people see this trend and panic, shouting "The top is here, run now," and end up selling halfway. But in reality, this isn't necessarily the true top; it might be big funds doing chip consolidation—first shaking out impatient retail traders, then continuing to push higher. The real top often features a crazy surge followed by a sudden plunge—that's the unmistakable signal.