#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 Market trends are testing patience—should you wait or take action?

After the daily K-line formed a large bullish candle, the price is stuck at the 30-day moving average, a key resistance level. From a short-term perspective, the rebound isn't over yet—repeatedly testing the bottom around 85,000 without breaking it clearly indicates accumulation. My straightforward judgment is: as long as BTC stays above 89,000, it will likely push towards 95,000 next week. But don’t rush to go all-in now; it’s better to wait for a confirmed breakout before adding short positions, to avoid being swept by false breakouts.

On-chain data also signals a shift—whales have reduced their short positions by 107 BTC, and market sentiment is starting to turn optimistic. Overall, BTC has completed a second bottom, and I expect a strong rebound next week, targeting the $100,000 level. A prudent short-term approach is to enter gradually but avoid greed.

On the ETH side, the daily chart also closed bullish, reaching the $3,000 psychological level. The main direction I see is a rebound, with the mid-term target between 3250 and 3450. But the key now is whether ETH can hold above $3,000—stability at this level would confirm strength. Aggressive traders can try long positions in the retracement zone around 2950-2900 with small positions, while conservative traders should wait until it breaks above $3,000 before entering.

Today, ETH fluctuated between 2960 and 3000. If it breaks below the support at 2970, caution is needed as a correction could bring it down to 2935 or even 2900. Recently, ETH and BTC have been highly correlated, but ETH’s momentum is somewhat weak, likely leading to sideways movement rather than a rally. In such a market, the biggest risk is greed—take profits when the trend is good.

Personally, I am somewhat optimistic in the short term, but the current issues are low liquidity and frequent price dips, so I won’t chase highs. The Saturday market might be relatively calm; the strategy is to go long at key levels if not broken, with stop-losses in place. Alternatively, taking a break over the weekend might be wise, especially with Christmas approaching and volatility likely to decrease.

$BTC $ETH

Honestly, this kind of market tests your mindset—fear of chasing and getting caught at a high, or waiting and missing out. No one can perfectly time every move; what’s important is understanding the significance of those key levels.