#BTC资金流动性 The biggest misconception in a trading career is overcomplicating things.

Many people fall into a strange cycle: learning more indicators, watching more candlestick patterns, studying deeper data. But the result is often more losses the more they learn. I’ve been down this road myself, until I realized — the truly profitable strategies are never the flashy ones.

Eight years ago, I was heavily in debt. Later, I completely turned things around with a simple, somewhat "silly" trading discipline system. It’s not luck, nor gambling, but repeating a proven pattern. Now I want to share these insights.

**The core logic boils down to four points:**

First, only look at the daily chart. This is key. The 5-minute and 15-minute fluctuations can blow your mind, but the daily chart truly reflects the trend. Focus on MACD golden cross signals appearing above the zero line — this pattern’s win rate is clearly visible.

Second, the daily moving average is the dividing line. It’s simple — just one line. When the price is below, don’t move; only consider holding when it’s above. This line acts like a straightforward, blunt indicator of market direction.

Third, buy and sell rules are clear. When buying, wait for the price to rise above the daily moving average and for volume to break out simultaneously — that’s your entry signal. For selling, do it in parts — sell one-third at a 40% gain, another third at 80%, and if it drops below the daily moving average, sell everything immediately. It sounds simple, but execution is the hard part because it must be fully mechanical, without emotional interference.

Fourth, and most importantly — if it drops below the daily moving average, exit immediately. Sell everything at the open the next day, don’t wait for a rebound. Many people get stuck here, always thinking "it will bounce back eventually." Wrong. If it drops, get out. When it reclaims the daily moving average, calmly re-enter. Repeating this process keeps you steady.

Although this method may seem to lack technical complexity, it has helped my asset curve rise steadily over 8 years. It’s not about betting on a coin or leveraging for doubles — it’s a repeatedly validated pattern.

The crypto world is full of uncertainties, but discipline and constraints help you survive longer. Don’t believe in hype, believe in practical experience.