It's wild how prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi have attracted way more mainstream users than memecoins. Here's the thing though—the math tells a different story. With memecoins, you're looking at maybe a 1-in-100 shot of taking a -98% hit. Meanwhile, on prediction markets? You're staring down -100% losses roughly every 5-10 trades. That's a brutal win rate. The risk-reward ratio on memecoins is genuinely insane by comparison. You could argue the "safer" route actually has worse odds when you zoom out and look at the data. Normies might think they're playing it smart, but the numbers suggest otherwise.