#以太坊行情解读 Many people enter the crypto world with the dream of "earning a living through trading," only to find themselves overwhelmed by losses in less than half a year. I have been navigating this market for eight years, and I am still here not because of luck, but because I have repeatedly validated the same set of rules. Today, I will lay out these rules in full, hoping you can avoid some detours.

**Cycle cooperation is key**

Are you only looking at the daily chart? This is a common trap for beginners. In fact, for short-term trading, you should look at the 30-minute cycle. Many long upper shadows that seem to indicate a drop turn out to be completely different when you switch to the 30-minute cycle. I've seen many cases where the price surges strongly the next day. The key is that small cycles must resonate with the larger market; only then are the opportunities worth risking real money.

**Don’t force it if the direction is wrong**

If the trend is wrong and the K-line order is broken, watching more won't help. Trading with the trend sounds simple, but sticking to it is especially difficult—when your chart gets messy, your mind follows suit, leading to more mistakes. When the market rhythm is chaotic, the best approach is to stay silent and wait until the trend is clear before acting.

**Hotspots and liquidity are the bottom line**

Without thematic support, market attention, or trading volume, no matter how good your technical analysis is, it’s useless. It’s like setting up a stall in a quiet night market—no matter how skilled you are, customers won’t see you. For short-term trading, you must focus on coins with heat and increasing capital inflow; this is the most efficient way to succeed.

**Plans should not be disrupted by market fluctuations**

What is the most common scenario for losing money? No plan, entering based on feelings alone, then being scared by the K-line and losing confidence, finally selling in a panic. Trading without discipline is essentially gambling. You need to set a plan—when to enter, how to exit, what is your maximum loss—and stick to it, letting the plan guide your actions.

**Others’ conclusions are just references**

Big influencers talk about bullish signals, internet celebrities say prices will skyrocket—these are all worth listening to, but never treat them as gospel. The market loves to harvest traders who seem to have a "consensus." Ultimately, those who make money are those with their own judgment and the courage to question. Use others’ opinions as nourishment, then turn them into your own analysis.

**Look at the big picture before choosing coins**

This is a step many overlook. The same technical setup can lead to big profits in the right direction, or stubborn losses in the wrong one. Choosing the right direction makes any operation smooth; choosing the wrong one makes all efforts futile. So don’t rush to pick specific coins first—ask yourself: Is this a good time for ETH? Is it an opportunity for mainstream coins or a moment when small coins can double?

**Coins that are rising are safer than those at the bottom**

What is humanity’s biggest weakness? Always trying to catch the bottom. When prices fall, you fantasize, "If it drops a little more, I’ll buy," but the more you wait, the lower it gets, and finally you get caught in the middle of the move. In reality, prices always move toward the least resistance. Buying during an uptrend, even if not at the lowest point, aligns with the trend, is less effort, and has the highest win rate.

**Stay calm after big gains or big losses**

I have tested this countless times. After making a big profit or suffering a big loss, your mindset will inevitably become unbalanced. Continuing to trade at this point only deepens mistakes. The smartest move is to go completely flat, pause, and review your trades and yourself—understand why you made money or lost, find the real reasons. Once your mindset stabilizes, continue trading. My experience shows this can improve decision accuracy by over 90%.

These 8 rules may seem simple, but executing them requires discipline. I hope these experiences help you avoid some pitfalls in the crypto world.