#BTC资金流动性 【BTC Price Trend Analysis 2025.12.20】

Currently, the Bitcoin situation is a bit delicate. From a technical perspective, the daily RSI is around 36, indicating that the bears still have the upper hand, and the MACD has also formed a death cross with green bars, signaling a medium-term weakness. However, the hourly RSI has already reached 63, showing a recovery from oversold conditions, and the green bars are shrinking, so a short-term rebound is possible.

**How to view support?** The recent defensive line is around 87,000-87,500 (intraday short-term support), and more importantly, the core Fibonacci level at 85,569—if this level is broken, the downside could target 84,000 or even 80,000.

**Where is resistance?** 88,500 is the first rebound threshold, with strong resistance zones at 89,000-89,500, as well as the psychological integer level at 90,000.

Volume has mildly increased, suggesting funds are rotating for risk hedging, and trading may be lighter over the weekend.

**Two trading strategies:** The bullish logic is that negative factors are fully priced in, with a rebound from oversold conditions and net inflow of spot funds. If the price stabilizes above 88,500, it may challenge 89,500; the bearish view believes that the daily bearish arrangement is suppressing upward movement, with 88,500-89,000 as key resistance. If this level is lost, the risk of decline toward 85,569 will increase.

**Trading suggestions—** For long positions, enter around 87,000-87,500 with a stop-loss below 86,500, and target gradually at 88,450 → 89,500; for short positions, add lightly when facing resistance at 88,800-89,000, with a stop-loss at 89,500, and aim for a pullback to 87,500 → 87,000. Remember to set your stop-loss properly.

$BTC