Predicting market manipulation through interaction boosting is actually more complicated than it seems. Recently, I tested several different methods, and the differences in trading costs were surprisingly large.



Currently, the mainstream strategies for boosting scores in the market are basically these three:

**End-of-Day High-Probability Catch**
Looks like a guaranteed win, specifically waiting for high-probability events to intervene at the last moment. It sounds foolproof, but in reality, it's a gamble with your life. As soon as a black swan appears, your principal is wiped out instantly. To put it plainly, even if an event is marked with a 99% win rate, that remaining 1% is enough to rewrite your account.

Where's the problem? This strategy essentially ignores extreme risks associated with low probabilities. Unexpected events in the market always emerge when you're least alert, and market prediction is no different. Seemingly safe choices often hide the biggest traps.

Experienced players won't bet all their chips on any single "probability." Risk management always comes before profit.
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rekt_but_vibingvip
· 12-20 13:54
Even 99% will fail, I am that 1% victim, with a history of blood and tears
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metaverse_hermitvip
· 12-20 13:47
99% can also result in zero losses, this is the magic of prediction markets... That 1% can really ruin everything.
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GweiObservervip
· 12-20 13:45
A 99% win rate sounds great, but that 1% can directly wipe out your account... Predicting markets is not as simple as you think.
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RunWithRugsvip
· 12-20 13:45
A 99% win rate sounds great, but that 1% is enough to bankrupt you. That's the truth about predicting markets.
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