I've seen too many people rush into the Meme coin market, dreaming of getting rich overnight. Especially with PEPE, the frog meme coin, which has been hotly discussed recently. Many investors are asking the same question: Can PEPE reach $1?

Honestly, my calm answer is—it's basically impossible. This isn't to pour cold water, but the math is right there.

**Just look at the numbers and you'll understand**

PEPE's total supply is 420.69 trillion tokens. If each token reaches $1, the market cap needed would be $420.69 trillion. What's the scale? The total global economy is only about $100 trillion, and the total market value of the US stock market is around $50 trillion. In other words, PEPE's market cap would be more than 8 times that of the US stock market. Is that realistic? Clearly not.

Some say they can burn tokens. Okay, suppose they burn 99%, leaving 4.2 trillion tokens, then the market cap would still need to be $4.2 trillion. That's 20 times Apple's market value. Still an astronomical number.

**Where's the core issue?**

Meme coins lack real-world utility support. They rely solely on community hype and speculative atmosphere. Once the hype fades, the price drops very quickly. This is completely different from projects with genuine demand and real technological applications.

The myth of wealth creation in the crypto market does exist, but betting on Meme coins is essentially gambling on probabilities. Most people will end up being the ones who get "cut." Instead of dreaming of getting rich overnight, it's better to understand where the risks are and how much you can afford to lose.