PCE data improves, Bitcoin breaks through $91,000, and the market is indeed heating up. Many are already eager to try, even contemplating heavy bets. But I must be honest—this opportunity looks promising, but you must not follow the trend blindly.
Having been in the crypto space for so many years and experienced several major adjustments, the biggest lesson is to distinguish between "emotion-driven" moves and "trend breakthroughs." This time, the PCE decline pushing Bitcoin higher has a straightforward logic: inflation easing → Federal Reserve has more room to cut interest rates → liquidity expectations heat up → funds are pre-positioned. In simple terms, the market is betting on a policy shift, not a fundamental change in Bitcoin itself. That 1.02% increase is essentially the fermentation of "positive expectation," not a solid, sustained support.
The key issues are three pitfalls that are particularly easy to fall into, and falling into any one of them will come at a cost.
**The first pit is chasing the high.** The $91,000 level is, frankly, a short-term emotional peak of concentrated release, not a sign of a true trend reversal. Remember December 6th? The same positive PCE data caused Bitcoin to rise sharply, only to be followed by panic selling, which directly broke below $90,000. Currently, there are many short-term funds waiting to cash out in the market. If you rush in now, you are likely just taking over someone else's position. How should you operate? Set take-profit points if you hold coins, and don’t rush to chase if you are in cash.
**The second pit is ignoring risks.** While the Fed’s rate cut expectations are positive, the global economy still faces many uncertainties. Geopolitical issues, employment data, and subsequent policy signals—any of these can change market expectations. A sudden black swan event could wipe out all optimistic sentiment.
**The third pit is position management.** No matter how good the market looks, never go all-in. Keep a backup plan and control risks—that’s the basic rule for long-term survival.
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PCE data improves, Bitcoin breaks through $91,000, and the market is indeed heating up. Many are already eager to try, even contemplating heavy bets. But I must be honest—this opportunity looks promising, but you must not follow the trend blindly.
Having been in the crypto space for so many years and experienced several major adjustments, the biggest lesson is to distinguish between "emotion-driven" moves and "trend breakthroughs." This time, the PCE decline pushing Bitcoin higher has a straightforward logic: inflation easing → Federal Reserve has more room to cut interest rates → liquidity expectations heat up → funds are pre-positioned. In simple terms, the market is betting on a policy shift, not a fundamental change in Bitcoin itself. That 1.02% increase is essentially the fermentation of "positive expectation," not a solid, sustained support.
The key issues are three pitfalls that are particularly easy to fall into, and falling into any one of them will come at a cost.
**The first pit is chasing the high.** The $91,000 level is, frankly, a short-term emotional peak of concentrated release, not a sign of a true trend reversal. Remember December 6th? The same positive PCE data caused Bitcoin to rise sharply, only to be followed by panic selling, which directly broke below $90,000. Currently, there are many short-term funds waiting to cash out in the market. If you rush in now, you are likely just taking over someone else's position. How should you operate? Set take-profit points if you hold coins, and don’t rush to chase if you are in cash.
**The second pit is ignoring risks.** While the Fed’s rate cut expectations are positive, the global economy still faces many uncertainties. Geopolitical issues, employment data, and subsequent policy signals—any of these can change market expectations. A sudden black swan event could wipe out all optimistic sentiment.
**The third pit is position management.** No matter how good the market looks, never go all-in. Keep a backup plan and control risks—that’s the basic rule for long-term survival.