Recently, the wave of "interest rate cut rumors" from the Federal Reserve has got everyone feeling restless? You look at the candlestick chart with Bitcoin showing slight fluctuations and think about jumping in to bet on a bull market? Hold on, take your hands off the keyboard for a moment and listen to someone who has been in the crypto world for five or six years—most of those rushing to bottom fish in this round are basically "sending their heads to the slaughter," while those who can stay patient are the real winners in the end.

Let's first clarify the current situation. The Federal Reserve is signaling a rate cut, and according to normal logic, risk assets should benefit, and the crypto market should be eager to move. But what’s the reality? Bitcoin is actually lacking energy. The fundamental reason is simple—"expectations and reality are two different things." The market has already digested this batch of good news, and now we’re in a wait-and-see phase where "good news runs out and turns into bad news."

From the weekly chart perspective, Bitcoin’s main trend has not reversed at all. The current rebound looks like a patient receiving saline infusion—appearing to improve, but actually just hanging on by external support, with little strength to move upward on its own.

Someone will definitely ask, what exactly is the market playing at now? Here’s a straightforward analogy—Bitcoin is like a "high-level PUA" (Pick-Up Artist), sometimes pulling up a bit to lure you in, sometimes dropping a bit to scare you into selling, constantly messing around between the two, unwilling to choose a direction. This kind of sideways market, caught between bulls and bears, is essentially a battle of strength buildup—each side waiting for the other to make the first move.

But the most crucial point—my view has always been the same: until the weekly trend clearly reverses, when you see a high point, you should reduce your scale. Don’t let these small fluctuations throw you off rhythm.