#数字资产市场洞察 Hold on, frens, don't rush to Cut Loss, because this wave of real market warming has actually just reached the threshold.

**The fire is still burning the cold stove**

2025 is the Year of the Snake. Although the energy of fire has already arrived, it’s like fire just being born – it hasn’t built up strength yet and is still easily pushed back by the coldness of winter time and again. So you will see the market fluctuating repeatedly, just when it has risen a bit, it turns back again. This is not an accident, it’s inevitable.

The year 2026 is the real key. The fire of the Year of the Horse is completely different—that is when the fire burns the strongest, with the sunlight shining directly. Bitcoin, this "wood," can only completely break away from the predicament of "too much water easily being washed away" under the strong sunlight, forming the strongest upward pattern.

From this perspective, the real market trend is destined for 2026.

**How to view it from a macro perspective?**

Putting these aside, it also makes sense from the perspective of the central bank and liquidity.

In 2025, central banks around the world are still sluggishly trying to cut interest rates, but the real wave of liquidity often takes a few months to arrive. When will prices start to rise? Looking at it this way:

**Now until the 2026 Spring Festival**——the most agonizing phase. The main institutions will make one last brutal move during the peak period of cashing out before the Spring Festival, washing away those unstable retail investors. This is also your last window to either get on board or hold firm.

**Q1 2026** - Spring begins to warm up. After the Beginning of Spring, the market will slowly climb up from the bottom, gradually reclaiming the territory it lost before.

**Mid to Autumn 2026** — A true explosion. With the summer heat combined with a massive release of global liquidity, Bitcoin will experience a genuine surge.

Wait, it's still the same thing - don't rush to cut your position.