#以太坊行情解读 Can a starting capital of 1 million also achieve stable rise? Sharing the core ideas of technical trading.

The money in the crypto world is never made through luck. I spent six years accumulating from a few thousand as a small retail investor to a seven-figure asset, and the biggest lesson I learned is: finding a replicable and executable trading system is more important than anything else. Today, I’m sharing this simple method; for those with strong execution, using this mindset can lead to stable rise without any liquidation.

**Step 1: Focus solely on the breakout patterns of the Bollinger Bands**

Too many indicators can create confusion. When looking at the daily chart, focus on one thing—the position of the middle line of the Bollinger Bands. When the price closes above the middle line and then breaks upwards, that’s the signal to start. Why do it this way? Because the Bollinger Bands reflect the range of price fluctuations, and breaking above the upper band means that retail investors who were near the bottom have been shaken out, making it an opportune time to enter and often catch the start of a rebound. Don’t trust hearsay, don’t trust the big players’ bragging, let the pure technicals do the talking. Even beginners can understand it, and they can easily tell when to act.

**Step 2: Use the 25-day moving average as the critical line**

One moving average is enough. The rule is simple: when the price is above the line, feel free to hold; once the closing price breaks the line, immediately liquidate. It sounds cruel, but that's the cost of survival. Many people can't withstand this discipline, always thinking, "It's just a pullback, there will be a rebound tomorrow." And the result? Tomorrow it drops again, and the day after continues to fall. A moment of laxity in discipline can lead to bleeding in your account. The market is always full of opportunities, but patience and discipline will allow you to survive longer.

**Step 3: There are checklists for both entry and take profit**

Entry conditions: Price stands above the 25-day moving average + trading volume simultaneously increases. Only when both conditions are met can we truly say there is a combination of volume and price.

Take profit in segments, absolutely do not be greedy:
- When the rise reaches 25%, first clear out 1/3 of the position to lock in the basic profit;
- Continue to rise to 50%, then clear 1/3 to secure core profits;
- As long as the closing price breaks the 25-day moving average, clear all remaining positions and do not cling to the battle.

What are the benefits of doing this? You never have to gamble on "where the top is." Executing discipline is worth more than any analysis. I've seen too many people wanting to hold on after a 70% rise, only to have a crash that brings them back to square one, wasting all their previous hard work.

**Step 4: There is only one iron rule for stop loss**

The broken line must be cleared, without exception. No matter how favorable the news is, it cannot change this rule. Why is it so harsh? Because a single stroke of luck can ruin all previous profits. I have seen too many accounts blow up due to the mindset of "this time it shouldn't be that bad." Just wait for the price to return to the moving average before re-entering the market; after all, opportunities are always there.

**Practical Case**

Some time ago, a new coin was launched, with a 3:1 risk-reward ratio set up. The original plan was just to sip some soup. As a result, within a few hours, it surged from 0.21 to 0.32, with a daily increase of over 50%. How was this captured? It was because I strictly followed the standards of Bollinger Band breakout + 25-day moving average + volume-price dual confirmation to enter the market, and then cleared positions according to the segmented profit-taking rules, ultimately not taking back a single dollar, but earning everything that should be earned.

This method may seem "stupid", but it is the safest and easiest way for retail investors to execute. It doesn’t require complex indicators or chasing hot trends; it is all about the most basic elements like price, moving averages, and trading volume. Mainstream coins like $BTC and $ETH perform the most stably under this system because of their good liquidity and clear signals.

Your current predicament may be: choosing the wrong coins, failing to identify the top, and losing due to greed. With this mindset, accumulating from four-digit starting capital to six digits is not a dream; avoiding liquidation and steady rise is the way to go.