#大户持仓动态 When I first started trading $XRP, I was staring at the 15-minute Candlestick all day, and as a result, I was Tied Up for three months, with my account shrinking by 80%—to put it bluntly, I was trapped by the short-term "trap." It wasn't until later that I understood that simply trading short-term is just gambling on probabilities; without a systematic approach, it's completely useless.

I have summarized the pitfalls I have encountered over the years and developed a relatively stable operating approach, with the key being to "validate each other using different timeframes."

**First, look at the big direction using the 4-hour chart**

The 4-hour chart can reflect the medium-term trend. I will first determine whether it is an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement: during an uptrend, do not go against the trend with short positions; during a downtrend, don't try to catch the bottom; and when it is sideways, it's most important to hold back—frequent entries and exits will only be eaten up by transaction fees.

**Use the 1-hour chart to find entry opportunities again**

Once the general direction is determined, use the 1-hour chart for precise positioning. When the price retraces to the moving average and stabilizes during an uptrend, that's an opportunity; however, if it rebounds to the resistance level but stagnates, it's a warning signal. Don't chase highs; that's a hard lesson learned.

**Finally confirm the signal with the 15-minute chart**

Before placing an order, you must go through the "safety check" of the 15-minute chart — you should only enter the market when the Candlestick engulfing pattern, MACD golden cross, and increased trading volume are all satisfied. If there is a rise on low volume, you don't need to look at it; that's just a false increase.

This logic has also been tried on $BNB, and the effect is equally stable. Making money in the crypto market really depends on grasping the rhythm and precise positioning. Once the mindset is stable, the profits will also be stable.