#大户持仓动态 How much deeper can the current market fall? When will the bull run come? What position are we actually in the cycle?

First, let's look at the weekly and 4-hour charts— the wave structures of the two periods have produced a resonance effect. From the perspective of the larger pattern on the weekly level, $BTC is currently operating within the B-wave rebound period, which is just a secondary adjustment in the bear market and not a signal of trend reversal. Zooming in to the 4-hour level, the previous complete 7 waves have been finished, and now the 8th wave rebound is underway. The signals from both large and small periods are consistent, and in the coming time, the market will mainly be dominated by the rebound rhythm.

But it must be made clear here: discussing market trends outside of the cycle is no different from driving with your eyes closed. Many people shout that there will be a fall but there is still no movement; when it rises suddenly, they rush to shout to crash the market. This kind of baseless prediction, to put it bluntly, shows a complete ignorance of the market.

Returning to the actual cycle logic, the weekly level is still holding back a fall. The 80,000 integer level is highly likely to be broken, followed by a drop to around 71,000. At that time, the three-day line indicator will show a clear bottom divergence, and the bearish momentum will truly be exhausted. That position will be the best window for laying the groundwork for the bottom.