AST, ICP, ZEC and other coins have recently attracted a lot of attention, and this week happens to be a window for observing the crypto market at the end of the year. Several important economic data releases are imminent, which may directly affect the trends of digital assets.
On Tuesday, the U.S. GDP growth rate and PCE price index will be released simultaneously. The former reflects the economic fundamentals, while the latter measures inflationary pressures. The combination of these data is crucial—if the economy slows down but inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve's room for interest rate cuts will be limited, which could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, if both data points perform moderately, indicating an economic "soft landing," risk assets may see an upward opportunity.
On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan's meeting minutes and the U.S. initial jobless claims data will follow one after another. Any signals of a shift in central bank policy, combined with the real-time performance of the U.S. labor market, could be amplified in the context of weaker liquidity before the holiday, triggering market volatility.
During the Christmas period on Thursday, most major global markets will be closed, and trading liquidity will significantly shrink. This means that the impact of prior data will take longer to digest, which could both present an opportunity for low-level positioning and hide the risk of unilateral fluctuations.
In the long term, the crypto market is facing a tug-of-war between two forces: one is the ongoing warming expectation for Bitcoin spot ETFs early next year (a long-term positive), and the other is the short-term sensitivity to Federal Reserve policies and economic data. This week's data release is essentially a short-term confrontation between these two forces.
Market participants need to clarify their own rhythm - whether they believe that big opportunities are still ahead and choose to accumulate positions on dips, or opt for a wait-and-see strategy amidst year-end fluctuations, which varies from person to person. The direction of this week is likely to set the tone for the year-end market.
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LiquidationWatcher
· 8h ago
Again it's GDP and PCE, every time it's this trap narrative... To be honest, before this week's data comes out, I trust no one.
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BackrowObserver
· 8h ago
The year-end data cycle is here, a bunch of economic indicators are getting dumped, and if things don't go well, it could be another bloodbath. Let's wait and see.
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StakeOrRegret
· 8h ago
Soft landing? Overthinking it, the dollar is very strong, this week is likely to be the rhythm of trapping suckers.
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ICP is about to take off again? Stop blowing, let's wait for the data to come out before talking.
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The Christmas market closure is simply giving time for dumping, I'm already numb from being tied up.
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Spot ETF is really favourable information, but this week's data could leave me without a penny, how to choose?
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Building a position on dips sounds good, but my low point is always below the next low point.
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It's ridiculous that GDP and PCE are announced together, they must want to blow up all risk assets at once.
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I won't dare to act before the unemployment data comes out, I'm too scared.
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Liquidity shrinkage = big fluctuations, this week it's either profit or loss, there's no middle ground.
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Why has ZEC suddenly become popular, this coin has no heat at all, feels like a trap.
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After watching analysis for a long time, I still don't know whether to buy or sell, I'll just quietly watch.
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BearMarketSurvivor
· 8h ago
The GDP data on Tuesday is the real key, if it’s a soft landing, we’ll go to da moon; if it’s a hard landing, we’ll have to pull back.
It’s the old trick of liquidity shrinking again, the days before Christmas are always the easiest time for dumping.
Instead of getting tangled up in these data points, it’s better to think about when the spot ETF can really see a substantial increase in volume.
To put it bluntly, without real trading volume, any rebound is just an illusion.
As for ICP, I really don’t understand why it has suddenly become active again recently.
Whether to build a position when prices are low or to wait and see depends on how much confidence you have in the Fed folks.
This year-end wave feels like betting on a change in attitude from the Fed.
AST, ICP, ZEC and other coins have recently attracted a lot of attention, and this week happens to be a window for observing the crypto market at the end of the year. Several important economic data releases are imminent, which may directly affect the trends of digital assets.
On Tuesday, the U.S. GDP growth rate and PCE price index will be released simultaneously. The former reflects the economic fundamentals, while the latter measures inflationary pressures. The combination of these data is crucial—if the economy slows down but inflation remains high, the Federal Reserve's room for interest rate cuts will be limited, which could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, if both data points perform moderately, indicating an economic "soft landing," risk assets may see an upward opportunity.
On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan's meeting minutes and the U.S. initial jobless claims data will follow one after another. Any signals of a shift in central bank policy, combined with the real-time performance of the U.S. labor market, could be amplified in the context of weaker liquidity before the holiday, triggering market volatility.
During the Christmas period on Thursday, most major global markets will be closed, and trading liquidity will significantly shrink. This means that the impact of prior data will take longer to digest, which could both present an opportunity for low-level positioning and hide the risk of unilateral fluctuations.
In the long term, the crypto market is facing a tug-of-war between two forces: one is the ongoing warming expectation for Bitcoin spot ETFs early next year (a long-term positive), and the other is the short-term sensitivity to Federal Reserve policies and economic data. This week's data release is essentially a short-term confrontation between these two forces.
Market participants need to clarify their own rhythm - whether they believe that big opportunities are still ahead and choose to accumulate positions on dips, or opt for a wait-and-see strategy amidst year-end fluctuations, which varies from person to person. The direction of this week is likely to set the tone for the year-end market.