The odds are tightening up pretty tight—prediction markets are now pricing in just 11% probability for Bitcoin to breach the $100,000 mark before the year ends. That's a significant shift from earlier sentiment, suggesting traders aren't betting too heavily on a surge to six figures in these final months. Pretty telling about where the momentum actually sits right now.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
9 Likes
Reward
9
4
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
LightningSentry
· 5h ago
11%? Laughing to death, there are really people who believe in this prediction market data.
View OriginalReply0
LiquidationWatcher
· 5h ago
11% ah, this is the real thought of the market, not many people really dare to bet on 100K anymore.
View OriginalReply0
BrokenDAO
· 5h ago
An 11% probability indicates that everyone has long regarded this matter as a low-probability event, but this is actually the most interesting part—market pricing often works this way: the closer it gets to the deadline, the calmer it becomes, because the real gamblers have already gone all in or all out, and what's left are arbitrageurs adjusting their positions.
View OriginalReply0
BankruptWorker
· 5h ago
11%? Why is that guy so pessimistic about the prediction market?
The odds are tightening up pretty tight—prediction markets are now pricing in just 11% probability for Bitcoin to breach the $100,000 mark before the year ends. That's a significant shift from earlier sentiment, suggesting traders aren't betting too heavily on a surge to six figures in these final months. Pretty telling about where the momentum actually sits right now.