2025-12-21 12:24:39

The prediction market prices probabilities, not the actual trends of BTC.

When prices are stuck in a consolidation phase, market liquidity shrinks, and macro policies continue to tighten, short-term odds will naturally decline—this is the conventional behavior of the market. But do not forget the facts behind it: the on-chain supply of Bitcoin remains tight, large holders show no signs of reducing their positions, and the allocation ratio of institutional funds is still increasing. Short-term emotional fluctuations are just fluctuations; the underlying logic accumulated over the long term is still there.

BTC0.38%

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LiquidatedThrice

· 7h ago

Short-term emotions are hitting hard, but in the long run, we still have to look at the on-chain data to speak. The whales haven't run away, so what are we panicking about?

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RuntimeError

· 7h ago

Short positions may boast, but the on-chain data is there, the real chips are still in the Whale's hands.

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ApeWithAPlan

· 7h ago

Short-term sentiment is really just noise. The key is still to look at on-chain data; the fact that the whales haven't run indicates that everything is still in the plan. --- If it's a consolidation, then let it be; institutions are still accumulating. It will be validated sooner or later. --- A decline in odds does not equal a collapse of the fundamentals; those who can't distinguish this have already been played people for suckers. --- The fact that supply is tight is something nobody is paying attention to; everyone is just looking at short-term Candlestick charts and making blind moves. --- The long-term logic is there; it just depends on who can hold on until that day. --- Macro tightening = a good opportunity for institutions to build a position; how can there still be people panicking over such a simple logic? --- During liquidity contraction, it's actually the best time to see who truly has confidence. The whales' money doesn't lie.

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