Bitcoin's realized price has repeatedly marked cycle bottoms throughout history—a pattern worth examining closely.



Looking back:
• 2018 bear market: -60% from peak
• COVID crash: -72% carnage
• 2022 downturn: -77% washout

Now with realized price sitting at $56K, the math gets interesting. This level suggests a potential ~55% correction from recent all-time highs could represent a significant cycle floor.

Historical precedent shows these realized price levels aren't random—they tend to converge with where buyer conviction typically re-emerges. Whether BTC actually tests that zone remains an open question, but the pattern is undeniably consistent across cycles.
BTC0.55%
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OnchainArchaeologistvip
· 12h ago
56k is indeed an interesting support level, but historical data is not 100% accurate... What was said to be the bottom has been broken through how many times.
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NotSatoshivip
· 12h ago
56k is the bottom? Uh... I think it can go lower.
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LightningPacketLossvip
· 12h ago
At this level of 56k, it feels like we're coming back to that trap again. Can we really trust it?
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SchrodingerWalletvip
· 12h ago
Is a 55% fall the bottom? It feels like this trap theory is discussed every round, but when it really gets dumped, it's still quite scary...
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