Arbitrage opportunities still thrive in crypto markets—you just need to know where to look.
Take this prediction market trader who turned $200k+ in profits. Their edge? Dead simple. They hunt for high spreads on outcome pairs, specifically waiting for moments when the combined price of YES + NO dips below $1. That price inefficiency creates the opening. While most participants trade on sentiment or hype, these savvy traders are exploiting the mathematical gaps left behind. It's textbook spread trading applied to decentralized prediction markets. The strategy works because retail traders rarely consider the total probability constraint. When you spot that mispricing, you're essentially buying certainty at a discount.
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shadowy_supercoder
· 17h ago
Damn, can this trap really make money? I need to think it over carefully...
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YieldChaser
· 18h ago
Damn, it's that same old probability arbitrage talk again... But to be honest, most people can't really grasp these opportunities.
200,000 dollars sounds tempting, but there are so few people who truly understand math.
Retail investors are just held hostage by their emotions, I'm also haha.
Wait, can the YES+NO breaking 1 really make steady profits? I have to give it a try.
Arbitrage sounds easy to talk about, but it's hard to execute, and the time window is really small.
You have to find those undervalued markets, otherwise it's all in vain.
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MechanicalMartel
· 18h ago
Can you really earn 200,000 a month through this kind of probabilistic Arbitrage? I believe it when pigs fly... Most people can't even add YES and NO together.
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GateUser-c799715c
· 18h ago
It's true that we need to find the places where those retail investors are asleep, the mathematical loopholes they can't calculate are the gold.
200,000 dollars sounds quite impressive, but to put it bluntly, it's still about eating from probability arbitrage; retail investors are too easily swayed by emotions.
Wait, how can YES + NO add up to less than 1? This logic doesn't make sense, right?
Actually, it's just quietly buying the dip when others are panicking, the old routine.
No matter how fancy you say it, it doesn't change one thing — most people simply lack the patience to wait for that moment to arrive.
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JustAnotherWallet
· 18h ago
Again with this set of rhetoric... YES+NO falls below 1 dollar and you make a fortune? Sounds simple, but how many can really copy it to the end? Most people will still only chase the price and sell with bearish market after watching.
Arbitrage opportunities still thrive in crypto markets—you just need to know where to look.
Take this prediction market trader who turned $200k+ in profits. Their edge? Dead simple. They hunt for high spreads on outcome pairs, specifically waiting for moments when the combined price of YES + NO dips below $1. That price inefficiency creates the opening. While most participants trade on sentiment or hype, these savvy traders are exploiting the mathematical gaps left behind. It's textbook spread trading applied to decentralized prediction markets. The strategy works because retail traders rarely consider the total probability constraint. When you spot that mispricing, you're essentially buying certainty at a discount.