#数字资产市场洞察 $ZEC $SUI $UNI

Trump's recent moves have stirred up the market a bit. On one hand, he is aggressively pushing for interest rate cuts as demanded by the Federal Reserve, while on the other hand, he is proposing a $200 billion tax cut plan. If you ask me, this is igniting the crypto market—looser liquidity plus enhanced purchasing power for the public, a dual approach.

First, let's look at the first step: the president directly pressured the new chairman of the Federal Reserve, with very straightforward words—interest rates must be lowered immediately. This is not a conventional policy suggestion, but a clear signal of pressure. What is needed is this kind of "rapid and significant" easing pace. This is definitely good news for risk assets.

Looking at the second step: The finance minister revealed that the 200 billion tariff rebate may not be directly credited to the account, but rather implemented in the form of tax reductions. It may not sound so intuitive, but in reality, it can directly increase residents' disposable income. When people have more money, their desire to consume grows stronger, and market sentiment heats up accordingly.

What does it mean when two signals are superimposed?

From a monetary perspective: lower interest rates → lower cost of capital → capital seeks returns → stocks and risk assets like cryptocurrencies begin to attract investment. From a fiscal perspective: tax cuts → more real money circulating among the public → improved economic expectations → increased risk appetite.

The market has actually started to "price in" this expectation in advance. As soon as rumors of interest rate cuts emerged, funds began to stir. Once the policy details are really finalized, we are likely to see a coordinated rise across markets.

However, it is important to be clear that commitments in the political context do not equate to immediate execution. The Federal Reserve operates independently, and it also takes time for Congress to pass tax cuts. Therefore, before this policy truly takes effect, the market is likely to oscillate repeatedly between hope and disappointment, leading to significant volatility.

My advice strategically is to closely monitor the personnel appointments of the Federal Reserve and the fiscal agenda of Congress. While the overall direction is not yet fully determined, do not go all in; maintain sufficient position flexibility. Because before the easing expectations are fully priced in, every drop could be an opportunity to get on board.

What do you think of this operation? Let's discuss it in the comments section.