2025-12-21 18:40:18

#大户持仓动态 ETH has been at the level of a meat grinder around 2950, but the further it goes down, the more I want to increase the position. The reasons are quite simple, all three levels point to a rebound:

**On-chain data is speaking** — The exchange inventory has plummeted by 120,000 coins in 7 days, while cold wallets have increased from 16.28 million to 16.40 million. What does this indicate? Whales are accumulating, and institutions are gradually positioning themselves. The less inventory there is, the smaller the space for a sell-off.

**The leveraged market is a powder keg** — The open interest has surged by 8.4% in the last 24 hours, with over 60 million USD in shorts waiting to explode. The funding rate has just flipped from negative to 0.0042%, which is a signal: the bears are starting to feel a bit shaky. As long as a strong bullish candle comes in, a panic sell-off is imminent.

**Technical Bottom Rebound Prototype** — The daily RSI has already touched the oversold area at 45.9, and the lower Bollinger Band supports at the position of 2943, while the hourly MACD has just crossed golden. As long as it holds above 2900, this structure is still alive. Once it breaks through 3030, the pressure zones at 3007 and 3025 will naturally follow.

**My strategy is as follows**: The spot at 2950 has been traded, with leverage controlled within 3 times, and a stop loss set at 2900. Once 3030 is taken down, I will increase the position aiming for 3100+. Friends on contracts should not chase high, the 2930-2950 range is the most comfortable point for increasing the position.

Also, don't forget the big picture — the Fusaka upgrade, the trend of RWA tokenization, along with the ETH/BTC showing signs of a head and shoulders bottom, with long-term expectations seeing 7600. As long as the CPI data moves in a dovish direction, that's rocket fuel. Be wary of short-term fluctuations, but there's really nothing to be afraid of below 3000. $SOL $ZEC is also worth paying attention to.

ETH1.87%

BTC0.86%

SOL0.7%

ZEC-1.5%

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LiquidationWizard

· 9h ago

The inventory has dropped so much, and the whales are frantically accumulating. Isn't this a signal? Why be timid? The shorts have piled up 60 million waiting for an explosion; it's just a matter of when the bullish line will come, waiting for the stampede. 2900 is really the floor price; looking long-term, there's hope for 7600, but don't be afraid of short-term fluctuations. All in on spot is the way to go; leverage should still be approached with caution. Getting liquidated isn't worth it. RSI is already at oversold, yet they're still bearish. These folks must be delusional; just wait for the rebound to make money. Once 3030 breaks, 3100+ is a sure thing; there's no need to hesitate with this rhythm. Those adding positions now are the winners, and the ones regretting later will be these folks. That's how it is.

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NestedFox

· 9h ago

Inventory is plummeting, Cold Wallet accumulation, this logic really holds up. Just afraid it will still die before dawn. --- If 2900 can't hold, then all this data is worthless. It's nice to speak of respecting fluctuations, but the reality is a 50% Slump. --- I don't have the guts to go all in at 2950, but I do have the courage to add a position at 2930. --- In terms of leverage powder kegs, the calm before the stampede is really scarier than the drop itself. --- Inverse head and shoulders pattern plus the expectation of 7600, if this doesn't land, I'll just assume you're telling a story. --- Where does the data of Cold Wallet accumulating to 16.4 million come from? It feels more significant than other signals on-chain. --- Don't awkwardly boast, the reason no one is intimidated below 3000 is that everyone is already losing badly, so they just let it drop as it pleases. --- The RWA windfall is real, but relying on this to support ETH back to 7600 is a bit wishful thinking. --- The current issue is not whether to respect fluctuations, but whether the account still has ammunition left.

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GateUser-00be86fc

· 9h ago

The position at 2950 is indeed a bit tight, but the inventory dropping by 120,000 pieces is a significant data point. With so many short positions stacked up, they are just waiting for a bullish line to trigger a sell-off, and it feels like it's coming soon. As long as 2900 holds, there's no need to overthink it, just go for it. If we break through 3030, we can head straight to 3100, I buy into this logic. In the long term, 7600 isn't a dream, it all depends on whether the CPI is strong enough.

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MEVHunterNoLoss

· 9h ago

Inventory plummeting by 120,000 pieces? This data is indeed interesting, the Large Investors seem to be a bit anxious. Short positions waiting for over 60 million to explode, just waiting for a substantial Bullish line. A踩踏 event is really just around the corner. If 2900 can't hold, I'll accept the loss, but it doesn't feel that easy. RSI is already Oversold to this extent and it's still being hammered down? Fusaka upgrade plus RWA trend, I believe in this long-term expectation of 7600. What are we afraid of in the short term? The 3030 level is crucial, if it breaks through it will be smooth sailing. However, replenishing margins at this point still hurts a bit.

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Anon32942

· 9h ago

The inventory has dropped by 120,000 pieces; this data is really astonishing, and the Large Investors' efforts weren't in vain. --- If 2900 can't be held, then it's truly a bombshell; having the courage to go All in now is a bit bold. --- The inverse head and shoulders pattern combined with the RWA trend, I have to admit this logic, but what if CPI turns hawkish? --- Playing with 3x leverage can't really produce any tricks; it's better to stick with Spot. --- Every day shouting for a Rebound and calling for a bottom, but it turns out that the further we go down, the more we get played for suckers; be cautious, everyone. --- How's it going with SOL? Are there any similar buy the dip signals? --- If 2950 gets hit, how do we make up for it later? Is there really spare cash or is it borrowed? --- The Cold Wallet absorbed 120,000 pieces directly; what if institutions are trying to dump? Have you thought about that? --- The MACD golden cross pattern and such technical stuff feel increasingly unreliable. --- Is the target of 7600 a bit exaggerated? According to this logic, BTC has to surge much higher.

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ruggedNotShrugged

· 10h ago

Inventory dropped by 120,000 pieces, whales are accumulating, this logic makes sense, but the position at 2950 is really frustrating, it has been repeated n times. Short positions are stacked at 60 million, feeling like it just needs a higher trade volumes bullish line to explode, when that happens, no one will be able to escape the stampede. RSI is at 45.9, oversold, Bollinger Bands are firmly at 2943, golden cross pattern on the hourly chart... the technicals are indeed a bit promising, just need to see if it can hold above 2900. Spot is trading, leverage controlled at 3x, stop loss at 2900, this approach is quite stable, much better than those who are in a full position chasing the price. The long-term expectation of 7600 feels a bit dreamy, but if the CPI is dovish, it could indeed trigger an explosion, this wave might really be an opportunity to enter a position.

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