Regarding the advancement of post-quantum encryption technology, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson recently provided an interesting analysis. The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) in the United States has completed the standardization of post-quantum encryption schemes in 2024, which sounds like a good progress. However, there is a practical issue here—the lack of hardware acceleration support.

What does no hardware acceleration mean? The cost of computation will soar, data scale will also surge, and the final result will be a noticeable decrease in blockchain throughput. Hoskinson pointed out that the performance loss could reach an order of magnitude, which is no small matter.

However, he believes that the real key is not "how to do it", but "when to do it". When will the risks of quantum computing truly threaten existing systems? That is the issue that needs to be seriously evaluated. DARPA's Quantum Benchmarking Program provides us with a reference timeline - it is expected that the feasibility of practical-level quantum computing will be assessed before 2033. This means we still have time to weigh the balance between technological maturity and actual demand.