#数字资产市场洞察 **Crypto market scan under the weekend fluctuation pattern**

This weekend, the market remains in a volatile range, and the trading volume is indeed not large—after all, traditional finance is on holiday, but the crypto market never closes, and its 24-hour operation is fully reflected at this moment.

$BTC is currently holding firm at the 88k level. It is expected that during the holiday period in Europe and the United States, the market will continue to show a volatile trend. A decrease in trading volume often means that volatility will actually increase, which tests one's mindset—remember to appropriately reduce leverage and be wary of spike risks.

The performance of $ETH is relatively resilient against downturns, despite the ETF experiencing net outflows for seven consecutive days, Ether managed to hold its ground over the weekend. Currently, it is consolidating around the 3000 round number, and from the 4-hour chart, the probability of a breakout seems considerable. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour MACD has confirmed a golden cross, and the RSI has recovered from an oversold position of 28.6 to 54, completing a healthy correction. Above, the $3000-$3057 range accumulates about $666M in short liquidation risk; once it breaks through 3000, it could trigger a chain squeeze effect. On-chain metrics are also continuing to accumulate, with reserves decreasing by 5% over 30 days, performing the strongest among the four major cryptocurrencies.

SOL has indeed been weak during this time; what remains besides the meme narrative? The market is asking this question.

In terms of BNB, the market suggests bullish participation, as most retail investors have already been trapped.

**On-chain and Market Data Overview**

In the past 24 hours, CEX has seen a net outflow of 2949.67 BTC. The altcoin season index continues to operate at a low level, currently reported at 17, indicating that the altcoin market has not yet arrived. The prediction market of Polymarket shows that the probability of Bitcoin rising to $100,000 this year has dropped to 10%, reflecting a market adjustment in expectations.

In addition, the world's first billionaire with a net worth of over $700 billion has emerged, and the probability distribution for the selection of the Federal Reserve Chairman is also continuously adjusting. These macroeconomic changes will ultimately affect the risk appetite for crypto assets.