The prediction market feature is now live, and users can directly subscribe to experience it within the app.
For a long time, we have been accustomed to viewing prediction markets as a purely rational endeavor: participants place bets on future events based on public information, and the market prices ultimately reflect collective wisdom. However, in reality, this process is far more complex than we imagine. The logic behind price formation, the motivations of participants, and the flow of information all influence the final market outcomes. The significance of prediction markets lies not only in what they can predict but also in how they make the judgments of market participants visible.
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TooScaredToSell
· 2025-12-23 16:37
Haha, it's finally online! I've been waiting for a long time. But to be honest, I'm tired of hearing this collective wisdom trap; it's not rational here at all, it's just a gambler's mentality.
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fork_in_the_road
· 2025-12-22 22:22
Subscribed, but to be honest, can this thing really predict anything? It feels like gamblers are just betting based on their instincts.
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BrokenYield
· 2025-12-22 05:07
nah, "collective wisdom" lmao... that's just what they tell retail before the smart money extracts liquidity. seen this movie before.
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MoonMathMagic
· 2025-12-22 05:05
I have to say, the prediction market is essentially a game of human nature, haha.
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DataChief
· 2025-12-22 05:01
The prediction market is here to Be Played for Suckers again, but I have to say this perspective is still interesting... collective intelligence vs emotional games, to put it simply, it's just about who can detect information asymmetry earlier.
The prediction market feature is now live, and users can directly subscribe to experience it within the app.
For a long time, we have been accustomed to viewing prediction markets as a purely rational endeavor: participants place bets on future events based on public information, and the market prices ultimately reflect collective wisdom. However, in reality, this process is far more complex than we imagine. The logic behind price formation, the motivations of participants, and the flow of information all influence the final market outcomes. The significance of prediction markets lies not only in what they can predict but also in how they make the judgments of market participants visible.