The interest rate hike decision in Tokyo that night has created a huge pit in the global financial markets. The Bank of Japan has raised interest rates substantively for the first time in thirty years. On the surface, it seems to be just a domestic policy adjustment, but the chain reaction behind it is devouring global risk assets.



The most terrifying thing is the huge ghost hidden behind this - trillions of dollars of cheap yen. Over the years, hedge funds and large institutions have been playing a game: borrowing yen at nearly zero cost and then pouring the money into U.S. stocks and the cryptocurrency market, taking advantage of high-yield corners around the globe. BTC, ETH, and various altcoins have all become their tools for arbitrage.

Now the Bank of Japan has tightened its policies, and the cost of borrowing yen has skyrocketed. The question arises – the money borrowed in yen has to be repaid, and it has to be done quickly. Thus, an epic reverse carry trade has begun. Institutions are forced to sell off their assets, from BTC to ETH and various other cryptocurrencies, just to exchange them back for yen to pay off debts. Liquidity has been completely drained like this.

History has a painful lesson: since Japan's monetary policy shifted to tightening, Bitcoin has plunged more than 20% with every market fluctuation. Now, coinciding with the Christmas holiday, the market is already lacking participants, and liquidity is weak. Even a slight selling pressure at this time can be magnified infinitely, triggering a chain reaction of leveraged liquidations. The shadow of liquidation is looming over every open position.

But interestingly, while everyone is focused on the shockwaves of Central Bank policies, the internal technological innovation forces within the crypto market are brewing new changes.
BTC-2,07%
ETH-3,37%
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SpeakWithHatOnvip
· 2025-12-25 05:58
This move in Japan has directly revitalized the global arbitrage trading market. Institutions are now frantically selling tokens and Japanese yen bonds, while us retail investors are just waiting to be liquidated—are we making a profit or bleeding?
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DarkPoolWatchervip
· 2025-12-23 18:08
Japan's actions have shaken the global market; this operation is brilliant... After so many years of the carry trade game, it's finally time for a reckoning, and institutions that borrowed yen to sell coins must be crying now. Speaking of which, at this critical moment coinciding with the winter break, a liquidity squeeze can create a huge pit, and even a small fluctuation can trigger a leverage chain reaction... We retail investors can only silently watch the liquidation list grow. Is it true that a 20%+ fall in BTC is just an appetizer? It feels like it could get worse. History is repeating itself; every time Japan stirs things up, the crypto world has to bear the brunt. The scheme is so deep that it should have been seen through long ago. If you ask me, institutions can sell as they please; this reverse arbitrage will be bloody, but we must not sleep through the upcoming technical breakthroughs, as that will be the signal for a reversal. Wait a minute, how will the appreciation of the yen affect the stablecoin market? Has anyone calculated that?
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HallucinationGrowervip
· 2025-12-22 08:54
The Bank of Japan's move has directly shattered the arbitrage game of hedge funds, it's really exhilarating... However, speaking of which, liquidity is already thin during the Christmas period, if this wave of selling pressure comes in strong, how are we retail investors supposed to survive?
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StopLossMastervip
· 2025-12-22 08:37
This wave is really amazing; Japan's interest rate hike has hit the world hard. Those institutions should have anticipated this day.
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