Gate Strategy Bots Weekly Report: The Bank of Japan raised interest rates as scheduled, in line with market expectations.

Last week (12/15–12/21), the core variables of the crypto market were derived from the Central Bank of Japan's interest rate decision and the reassessment of institutional medium- to long-term price expectations. The Central Bank of Japan raised the policy interest rate to 0.75%, which met market expectations. As no clear signal of “continued rapid rate hikes” was released after the meeting, the market interpreted it as a dovish rate hike, leading to a temporary alleviation of macroeconomic tension.

BTC rebounded from the $85,000 level to around $88,000 after the announcement, and then maintained a narrow range over the weekend, with fluctuations clearly converging. Overall, risk appetite has warmed in the short term, but the price has not formed a continuous advance, still reflecting a structure dominated by existing capital.

At the same time, there is a divergence in the judgment of institutions regarding the subsequent market trends, with the market shifting from “betting on one side” to “placing greater emphasis on valuation and risk management”. Against the backdrop of low liquidity at the end of the year, funds are more inclined to wait for clearer price structures and macro signals to confirm, and in the short term, the market is still dominated by range fluctuations and event-driven volatility.

As we enter the year-end holiday phase, market liquidity continues to decline. Overall volatility may be limited, but when trading depth is insufficient, it is more easily influenced by position structures, and liquidation-type market conditions may still occur repeatedly. The key during this phase is not in directional judgment, but in position and leverage management.

1｜Market Environment Overview

BTC

The market is still being pulled back and forth in the range of $85,000–$88,000, and after thin trading over the weekend, it looks more like a “dull sideways” movement. It tends to retrace when approaching the upper end of the range, while it can be bought back near the lower end, with short-term trading leaning more towards repeated fluctuations rather than a continuous one-sided movement.

ETH

The integer level of 3,000 USD continues to act as an anchor point, fluctuating up and down but lacking sustained volume to drive it, with the overall rhythm still swinging in sync with BTC. It currently feels more like “oscillating around the key price level,” making it unsuitable to chase with a trend-following mindset.

SOL

The fluctuation within the range of 120–140 dollars remains the most active, with a common pattern of rapid rises followed by quick pullbacks. There are many opportunities, but the margin for error is small. Strategically, it is more inclined towards small positions and short cycles to avoid accumulating into directional positions.

In terms of derivatives, positions have shrunk before the holiday, making it easier for the market to be driven by short-term position adjustments. This week, attention should be focused on the 12/26 BTC options expiration window, where the probability of amplified volatility before and after settlement is higher. Priority should be given to reducing leverage, margin usage, and the pace of increasing positions.

This week's macro theme is: the trading volume and depth continue to weaken during Christmas week, the structural volatility brought by the BTC options expiration on 12/26, and the short-term liquidation triggered by the event window. Overall, it is still mainly characterized by structural fluctuations, and there has not yet been a clear signal of a strengthening in the mid-term funding situation.

2｜Four Gate Ultra AI Strategy Features

3｜This Week's Hot New Coins Radar

New Coin Name

Magma Finance (MAGMA)

Theoriq (THQ)

SCOR (SCOR)

VOOI (VOOI)

Infrared (IR)

TradeTide (TTD)

Tronbank (TBK)

4｜Suggested Capital Allocation and Risk Control

5｜Important Event Reminders This Week

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Investment Risk Warning The prices of crypto assets are highly volatile, please participate cautiously according to your own risk tolerance. This content does not constitute any investment advice.