The long and short battle of XRP is entering a critical node, and all signs are telling an intriguing story.

The data is right in front of us: at a leading exchange, over 53% of retail investors are going long, with the long position ratio even approaching 60%. The market is filled with bullish sentiment, but this could very well be the most dangerous moment.

Ironically, in such an "optimistic" atmosphere, short-term funds have quietly turned into a net outflow. Smart money seems to be taking advantage of the enthusiasm of retail investors and is quietly exiting. As for the price? It is stuck below a key resistance level, making no progress. Stagnation - this is the most typical reversal signal.

The truth of the financial market is always so cruel: when everyone crowds to the same side, it is the beginning of capsizing. Now, this ship is full of bullish passengers, while the helmsman has long prepared the lifeboats.

The technical outlook is clear: between 1.900 and 1.835 is exactly where retail investors' psychological defense is weakest. This is not a prediction; it's the story the market structure tells us.

The essence of trading is a game of probability. During times of extreme emotions, it is often necessary to think in reverse—it's always the minority that profits from the positions of the majority. At this stage, staying calm and waiting for high-probability opportunities is more important than blindly following the trend.