As the end of the year approaches, the precious metals market is really booming. Gold has already broken through the 4400 USD mark, with an annual increase of nearly 70%; silver is even more outrageous, approaching 70 USD, with an annual increase of 133%. This is the strongest annual performance in nearly 50 years since 1979.



It seems crazy, but the logic behind it is quite clear. The central bank continues to buy, ETF funds are pouring in continuously, global interest rates are declining, and the dollar is depreciating continuously — these four factors combined make up the complete story of the rise in precious metals.

How do institutions view the subsequent trend?

Goldman Sachs has a structural bullish outlook, expecting gold to reach $4900 by the end of 2026, and retail investors could push it even higher if they increase their positions. UBS believes that the weakness of the dollar and the decline in real interest rates will continue to provide support, with no major surprises in gold reaching $4500 before June next year. The World Gold Council predicts that precious metals will have an additional rise of 5% to 15% next year, based on fiscal expansion and continued buying by central banks.

Looking at it from a different angle, the performance of precious metals in this wave reflects, to some extent, the changes in the global macro environment—central bank attitude shifts, adjustments in liquidity patterns, and changes in exchange rate expectations. For those interested in major asset allocation, these signals are worth pondering.
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ContractCollectorvip
· 2025-12-25 22:56
Silver's 133% surge is truly remarkable; this is the real safe-haven asset --- Central bank buying continues unabated, retail investors are still debating whether to jump in --- The devaluation of the US dollar has been obvious for a long time; gold's rise is inevitable --- $4900? Goldman Sachs' prediction is a bit conservative; it feels like there's still room to go higher --- The liquidity landscape has changed, and everyone is finally recognizing the value of precious metals --- Breaking 4500 in June next year, UBS's forecast is reliable, and they've already started increasing positions --- A 133% increase, unseen in 50 years, there is definitely a story behind it --- Once the central bank attitude shifts, retail investors will understand what asset allocation really means --- With the US dollar continuing to depreciate, gold is the true hard asset --- A 5% to 15% upside potential; continue to be optimistic next year, but risk management is also necessary
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BrokenRugsvip
· 2025-12-23 04:51
Silver rise 133%? Why haven't I entered a position yet, I'm a bit anxious.
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VirtualRichDreamvip
· 2025-12-23 04:42
Silver 133% rise? Wow, is this for real? I need to go check it out. The Central Bank is buying like crazy, and we retail investors can only follow suit. Goldman Sachs predicts $4900, but I feel like it’s going to get even crazier... The depreciation of the dollar is indeed the spring for gold. Going All in again next year, this must be a signal, right everyone? Institutions are all making money, we also need to get a piece of the action. The strongest performance since 1979, it’s indeed top-tier. Is this the effect of the interest rate going down? Learned something new. It feels like the second half has just started, and there’s still room to surge. The Central Bank is buying, and I’m following to Clip Coupons. This logic chain is indeed clear, but it’s just too much money to burn.
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