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#以太坊行情解读 The data is presented before us, and the truth cannot be hidden.
When it comes to truly substantial prediction markets, Polymarket is currently the only major player in the ecosystem.
How is the trading volume distributed? Sports events 35.4%, political topics 25.3%, cryptocurrency topics 23.2% - the three pillars each occupy their own space, covering a wide range.
The distribution of OI (open interest) is also similar, with sports, politics, and Crypto maintaining this triangular pattern.
Looking at Kalshi, which claims to be the strongest competitor, one notices that its trading volume relies almost entirely on sports. To put it bluntly, it is better described as sports betting wrapped in the guise of an innovative prediction market—essentially still exploiting the gray areas of regulation for arbitrage.
In the same prediction market sector, the differences in market structure and ecological richness are so vast that user choices have already made it clear.