2025-12-23 14:35:51

Opportunities that can truly make money often come with a strong sense of certainty.

You can clearly see the logic, feel the market consensus, or the data is already filled with possibilities—only these types of opportunities are worth pursuing. Conversely, those vague and ambiguous signals? Most of the time, they are just giving away money.

This is also why many people in the crypto world hustle all day but still end up losing money. It's not because there are few opportunities, but because they participate in projects that are not suitable for their current skill level, chasing signals that are not strong enough.

So the criteria for filtering is very simple: either the opportunity is strong enough to be clear, or let it pass. If it's not strong, no matter how tempting, it is not an opportunity for you—just a risk.

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GweiWatcher

· 21h ago

You’re not wrong to say that, but it’s scary to know it; when the moment of fear of missing out (FOMO) arrives, I still might rush in.

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GateUser-addcaaf7

· 21h ago

You're right, I fell for those not strong enough signals and lost a lot. --- When it comes to certainty, you really have to verify it yourself, you can't just listen to others brag. --- The biggest pitfall in the crypto world is FOMO; wanting to copy everything, but ending up losing it all. --- This logic is correct, but there are actually very few people who can truly execute it. --- The concept of water level is too crucial; many newbies don't even realize their own capabilities. --- Instead of chasing ten vague signals, it's better to wait for one clear opportunity; this is the principle of longevity. --- It sounds simple, but in practice, it's still easy to be tempted, especially when you see others making money. --- For projects without clear logic, I now just pass directly to save trouble.

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NFTBlackHole

· 21h ago

You're right, certainty is the way to go; otherwise, it's just a gambler's mentality. What does certainty actually mean? I see many people talking about certainty, but it's disappointing. That's why I have just one standard when choosing projects: can the data speak for itself? Instead of chasing those who talk a big game, it's better to wait for real market consensus to appear. No need for more nonsense; if I'm not more than 50% sure, I just pass. I'm keeping a good mindset. In the crypto world, those who lose money are all dying from the words "it might rise." Weak signals are traps; I’d rather miss out than take the bait. The term certainty is used well, but too many people confuse "feelings" with "logic."

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orphaned_block

· 21h ago

You're absolutely right. I just won't touch any unclear signals; too many people have been played for suckers by those half-understood things. --- It's easy to talk about certainty, but it takes a lot of experience to actually distinguish it. --- Haha, I previously chased after weak signals, and now my account has shrunk; I regret it so much. --- The key is that there is too much information in the crypto world, 99% of it is noise, and you can only make money if you find that 1%. --- I think what's even more painful is that many people can't even tell the difference between strong signals and weak signals; they just rely on their feelings to enter a position. --- There aren't many clear opportunities; most of the time, you should choose to wait.

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ChainSherlockGirl

· 21h ago

According to my analysis, this article is saying - we need to let the data speak for itself, instead of just listening to stories. How are the large investors moving on-chain? What does the transaction tracking show? This is the real signal, everything else is noise. --- That's right, but most people just can't control themselves, they have to go all in on the ambiguous signals, and then come crying to me about their losses. Personally, I think they simply don't understand what the on-chain data is telling them. --- If the opportunity isn't strong enough, don't touch it. Teachers say this every year, but unfortunately, very few actually listen. Risk warning: your "tempting" often turns out to be a market maker's trap. --- Really, the filtering criteria are that simple, yet some people still insist on betting on those vague things. To be continued, let's wait and see how they regret it. --- Interestingly, the more certain the opportunity, the more many people look down on it, always wanting to chase that "next hundred times". Wake up, everyone. --- The wallet address shows that the large investors have already laid in ambush, and you are still hesitating? This is the difference between signal and noise.

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NFTRegretDiary

· 21h ago

You're right, I used to be the kind of fool who chased weak signals, now I've lost so much I'm questioning life. It's easy to talk about certainty, but it's really hard to find it, most of the time it's just self-hypnosis. The logic of losing money in the crypto world is that simple, if you didn't figure it out and entered a position, you deserve it. Instead of getting tangled up in what you missed, it's better to wait for those opportunities that can be seen through at a glance, but those are really rare. Ambiguous signals are a playground for probability geniuses, I advise everyone not to go.

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